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Writes at Move the Sticks (podcast)
Across 3 graded calls in 1 article, Tony Dungy scores 49.52% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 42.86, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
How accurate are NFL experts overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 3 calls · one square per call
1hits33% of graded
1Close33%
1misses33%
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
No kind has five graded calls yet, so none is rated.
3 graded calls in 1 article, newest first. Every take from Tony Dungy, including the ones still waiting →
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
The same 87, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Tony Dungy isn’t ranked yet: a record is ranked from 10 graded articles, so a lucky first handful can’t top the table.
Drake Maye to win MVP
“I'm going to vote for Drake May as the MVP.”
Houston Texans to beat Pittsburgh
“I think the winner of this game, I really think it's going to be Houston.”
Closing line (Jan 12): Texans by 3 · favorite pick, Texans 58%.
“I'm gonna go Pittsburgh at number six... I'm going to go Jacksonville number five... Number four, I'm going to go New England... Number three... I'm going to go Buffalo... [LAC and Houston] Yep, and that's how I'm going”