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Zachary Pereles· Oct 31, 2026

Pereles picks the Eagles to beat the Commanders on Sunday Night Football, 20-17, expecting Philadelphia's defense to bounce back toward its Week 1 form.

“Pick: Eagles 20, Commanders 17”

published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 16.7 out of 100, against 61.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Philadelphia Eagles 20 — Commanders 17

    “But I don't think it'll happen. Pick: Eagles 20, Commanders 17”

    Miss · 17Scored 16.67a naive guess scored 61.23-71.75 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    10-27
    skill:
    −71.75
    they picked:
    PHI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    16.67
    baseline:
    61.23
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    17
    weeks left when called:
    11
    naive home margin:
    0.72
    predicted margin:
    3

    Closing line (Nov 1): Commanders by 6, total 40.5 · this 20–17 calls a Eagles win (by 3; the line gave the Eagles 29%) and fewer points (37).

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