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Henry Brown· Oct 15, 2026

Brown expects Washington's pre-deadline stretch to go badly, with losses to the 49ers in Week 6, the Eagles, and the Rams in Week 9 leaving the Commanders winless in five straight heading into the trade deadline.

“there's a real chance that this squad will limp into the deadline without a win in their previous five outings”

published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →

3 checkable claims — 3 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 66.7 out of 100, against 66.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

The games in this take

3 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles RamsOct 15, 2026

    Los Angeles Rams to beat Commanders

    “a date with the Los Angeles Rams awaits the underdogs in Week 9 ... assuming all of those playoff-hopefuls dispose of the hangers-on”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+172 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    LAR
    score:
    20-13
    skill:
    172
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    WAS
    difficulty:
    1.72
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    13

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  • Game Outcome PicksPhiladelphia EaglesOct 15, 2026

    Philadelphia Eagles to beat Commanders

    “The hurting Philadelphia Eagles, sandwiched between those uphill battles, hover as a wounded animal looking for an easy victory over the same team they'd already bested in this fall's season opener... there's a real chance that this squad will limp into the deadline without a win in their previous five outings”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-172 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    WAS
    score:
    10-27
    skill:
    −172
    they picked:
    PHI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    WAS
    difficulty:
    1.72
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    13

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  • Game Outcome PicksSan Francisco 49ersOct 15, 2026

    San Francisco 49ers to beat Commanders

    “The undefeated 49ers are favored to make quick work of the uncoordinated Commanders on Monday Night Football in Week 6”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    SF
    score:
    17-23
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    SF
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    SF
    difficulty:
    1.72
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    13

    Closing line (Oct 19): 49ers by 7.5 · favorite pick, 49ers about 3 in 4 (77%).

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What others said about the same people

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