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“Stanford Steve” Coughlin· Oct 23, 2026

Stanford Steve says Atlanta can beat San Francisco outright with Mike Evans out, and that Philadelphia probably wins its Monday night game.

“The Falcons are gonna win that game outright possibly.”

said on air, transcribed by us · Green Light with Chris Long (podcast) · read the original →

2 checkable claims — 2 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 50 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

The games in this take

2 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Philadelphia Eagles to beat Cowboys

    “Monday night, the Eagles are covering, and they probably win that game.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    DAL
    score:
    38-21
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    PHI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    1.67
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    12

    Closing line (Oct 26): Cowboys by 4.5 · underdog pick, Eagles about 1 in 3 (34%). Graded on who won, not on the spread.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Atlanta Falcons to beat Niners

    “Dude. The Falcons are gonna win that game outright possibly.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    ATL
    score:
    20-29
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    ATL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    ATL
    difficulty:
    1.67
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    12

    Closing line (Oct 25): 49ers by 2.5 · underdog pick, Falcons 42%.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

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