Jon Gruden· Aug 26, 2026
The former Buccaneers head coach predicted that Tampa Bay and Baker Mayfield are closer on a new contract than believed and that an extension will get done.
“But I expect it to get done, indeed.”
published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →
One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.
It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
The call scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
1 checkable claim in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Contract CallsBaker MayfieldTampa Bay BuccaneersAug 26, 2026
Baker Mayfield to sign a new deal with Tampa Bay Buccaneers
“"I think they're a lot closer than people realize," Gruden said. "But I expect it to get done, indeed."”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- TB
- kind:
- signs
- skill:
- 100
- player:
- Baker Mayfield
- season:
- 2026
- signed:
- 3-year $55M a year with Buccaneers (first listed 2026-09-16)
- result from:
- OverTheCap, via nflverse
- claimed:
- contract extension with the Buccaneers gets done
- settles:
- 2027-03-12
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- deadline:
- the default for a claim with no date
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
What others said about the same people
- Chris BrockmanContract Calls · Baker MayfieldHit · 100Brockman's season-preview overreactions: Fernando Mendoza becomes an Offensive Rookie of the Year finalist; Dak Prescott wins MVP and the Cowboys win the Super Bowl; Jesse Minter's Ravens win the AFC North; C.J. Stroud leads Houston to the AFC's No. 1 seed; Jonathan Taylor approaches 2,000 rushing yards; Baker Mayfield wins the NFC South, goes 12-5 and reaches the NFC title game while landing a $60 million-per-year deal; and Aaron Rodgers throws 35-plus touchdowns as the Steelers go 11-6 and win the North.
- Jeremy PargoScore Predictions · Tampa Bay BuccaneersClose · 45Picked winners and exact scores for every Week 4 game, including an upset of the Colts by Washington in London and a Buccaneers win over the Packers.
- Bobby KownackScore Predictions · Tampa Bay BuccaneersClose · 50Picked winners and exact scores for every Week 4 game, including upsets by the Jets in Chicago and the Buccaneers over the Packers, plus the Jaguars at Cincinnati.
- Seth WalderScore Predictions · Tampa Bay BuccaneersClose · 50Walder made a 'bold prediction' for each Week 4 game — including receiving and rushing yardage marks, sacks, an interception and a Dolphins upset — and picked final scores for all 15 games on the slate.
- Richard ShermanGame Outcome Picks · Tampa Bay BuccaneersMiss · 0Sherman gave his own top five entering Week 4 with the 49ers first, then made picks in every Week 4 game, including upset calls for Carolina over Detroit (with a 36-31 scoreline), Tampa Bay over Green Bay, Washington over Indianapolis and Jacksonville over Cincinnati.
- Bill HuberGame Outcome Picks · Tampa Bay BuccaneersMiss · 0After the Packers' 35-14 home loss to Atlanta, Huber revised his season forecast from 8-9 down to 5-12, going game-by-game through the remaining schedule and picking Green Bay to win only four more games (Dallas, Carolina, Minnesota, Miami).
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The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
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- Doug "D-Mac" McKainContract Calls · Puka NacuaMiss · 0McKinney believes the Rams will ultimately hand Puka Nacua a large contract extension, and that it will get done around training camp.
- Rich EisenContract Calls · James CookHit · 100Eisen pushed back on the idea that Micah Parsons would demand a trade, saying Parsons stays in Dallas and gets his deal done late as usual, and he also argued the Bills will end up paying James Cook rather than letting him leave. He added that if Myles Garrett is traded, Cleveland will certainly draft Abdul Carter to replace him.
- Nate TiceContract Calls · Milton WilliamsHit · 100Tice predicted Milton Williams will get a big free-agent contract around $20 million per year, and said he expects Notre Dame QB Riley Leonard to test better at the combine than people expect.
- Cade CracasContract Calls · Kayvon ThibodeauxPendingCracas argues the Browns should trade for either Giants edge rusher Kayvon Thibodeaux or Commanders defensive tackle Daron Payne before the 2026 deadline, and expects both players to end up signing contracts with new teams.