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Writes at Sports Illustrated
Across 32 graded calls in 4 articles, Seth Walder scores 62.91% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 42.94, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
How accurate are NFL experts overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 41 calls · one square per call
11hits34% of graded
15Close47%
6misses19%
9
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
32 graded calls in 4 articles, newest first — page 1 of 2. Every take from Seth Walder, including the ones still waiting →
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
The same 87, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Seth Walder isn’t ranked yet: a record is ranked from 10 graded articles, so a lucky first handful can’t top the table.
Denver Broncos 27 — Chargers 18
“Walder's pick: Broncos 27, Chargers 18”
Closing line (Oct 11): Broncos by 3.5, total 42.5 · this 27–18 calls a bigger Broncos win (by 9) and more points (45).
New Orleans Saints 23 — Vikings 13
“Bold prediction: The Saints will win by double digits. ... Walder's pick: Saints 23, Vikings 13”
Closing line (Oct 11): Vikings by 2.5, total 41.5 · this 23–13 calls a Saints win (by 10; the line gave the Saints 44%) and fewer points (36).
Chicago Bears 24 — Packers 23
“Walder's pick: Bears 24, Packers 23”
Closing line (Oct 11): Bears by 1.5, total 46.5 · this 24–23 calls a closer game (Bears by 1) and more points (47).
Las Vegas Raiders 23 — Patriots 22
“Walder's pick: Raiders 23, Patriots 22”
Closing line (Oct 11): Patriots by 3.5, total 45.5 · this 23–22 calls a Raiders win (by 1; the line gave the Raiders 38%) and fewer points (45).
Los Angeles Rams 34 — Bills 28
“Walder's pick: Rams 34, Bills 28”
Closing line (Oct 12): Rams by 3.5, total 55.5 · this 34–28 calls a bigger Rams win (by 6) and more points (62).
Cincinnati Bengals 24 — Dolphins 14
“Walder's pick: Bengals 24, Dolphins 14”
Closing line (Oct 11): Bengals by 7, total 44.5 · this 24–14 calls a bigger Bengals win (by 10) and fewer points (38).
Jacksonville Jaguars 31 — Eagles 14
“Walder's pick: Jaguars 31, Eagles 14”
Closing line (Oct 11): Jaguars by 7.5, total 41.5 · this 31–14 calls a bigger Jaguars win (by 17) and more points (45).
Houston Texans 27 — Titans 20
“Walder's pick: Texans 27, Titans 20”
Closing line (Oct 11): Texans by 6.5, total 37.5 · this 27–20 calls a bigger Texans win (by 7) and more points (47).
Detroit Lions 30 — Cardinals 20
“Walder's pick: Lions 30, Cardinals 20”
Closing line (Oct 11): Lions by 5.5, total 55.5 · this 30–20 calls a bigger Lions win (by 10) and fewer points (50).
Washington Commanders 24 — Giants 16
“Walder's pick: Commanders 24, Giants 16”
Closing line (Oct 11): Commanders by 3.5, total 41.5 · this 24–16 calls a bigger Commanders win (by 8) and fewer points (40).
Pittsburgh Steelers 23 — Colts 16
“Walder's pick: Steelers 23, Colts 16”
Closing line (Oct 11): Steelers by 3, total 41.5 · this 23–16 calls a bigger Steelers win (by 7) and fewer points (39).
San Francisco 49ers 26 — Seahawks 23
“Walder's pick: 49ers 26, Seahawks 23”
Closing line (Oct 11): Seahawks by 3, total 46.5 · this 26–23 calls a 49ers win (by 3; the line gave the 49ers 40%) and more points (49).
Baltimore Ravens 23 — Falcons 17
“Walder's pick: Ravens 23, Falcons 17”
Closing line (Oct 11): Falcons by 3.5, total 44.5 · this 23–17 calls a Ravens win (by 6; the line gave the Ravens 39%) and fewer points (40).
New York Jets 20 — Browns 17
“Walder's pick: Jets 20, Browns 17”
Closing line (Oct 11): Jets by 2.5, total 38.5 · this 20–17 calls a bigger Jets win (by 3) and fewer points (37).