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Writes at Nightcap (podcast)
Across 38 graded calls in 10 articles, Jeremy Pargo scores 70.97% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 53.36, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a limited sample, under thirty graded articles, so treat it with caution. That ranks #9 of 87 ranked NFL pundits on the MissedTakes leaderboard.
How accurate are NFL experts overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 39 calls · one square per call
15hits39% of graded
15Close39%
8misses21%
1
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
38 graded calls in 10 articles, newest first — page 1 of 2. Every take from Jeremy Pargo, including the ones still waiting →
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
Buffalo Bills to beat Vikings
The same 87, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Why the ranks differ: a naive guess scores very differently depending on which calls were made, from 15.25% on the hardest record here to 85.71% on the easiest. Accuracy alone flatters easy calls, so by accuracy Jeremy Pargo would be #18; the Score measures the lift over a naive guess on the same calls, and that puts this record at #9.
| # | Pundit | Score | Accuracy | Graded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Donnie Druin | 56.31 | 96.43% | 16 |
| 8 | Pat Fitzmaurice | 54.16 | 67.53% | 129 |
| 9 | Jeremy Pargo | 53.36 | 70.97% | 38 |
| 10 | Shanna McCarriston | 50.5 | 71.26% | 20 |
| 11 | Lance Zierlein | 48.28 | 64.33% | 45 |
“Jeremy Bergman: Bills”
Closing line (Nov 9): Bills by 3 · favorite pick, Bills 62%.
Seattle Seahawks to beat Cardinals
“Jeremy Bergman: Seahawks”
Closing line (Nov 8): Seahawks by 8.5 · favorite pick, Seahawks about 4 in 5 (79%).
Chicago Bears to beat Seahawks
“Jeremy Bergman: Bears”
Closing line (Nov 2): Seahawks by 3 · underdog pick, Bears 40%.
Chicago Bears to beat Seattle Seahawks
“Jeremy Bergman, NFL.com : Chicago Bears”
Closing line (Nov 2): Seahawks by 3 · underdog pick, Bears 40%.
New York Jets 24 — Dolphins 16
“Jeremy Bergman: Jets 24, Dolphins 16”
Closing line (Oct 25): Jets by 3.5, total 39.5 · this 24–16 calls a bigger Jets win (by 8) and more points (40).
Indianapolis Colts 24 — Titans 19
“Jeremy Bergman: Colts 24, Titans 19”
Closing line (Oct 18): Colts by 6.5, total 43.5 · this 24–19 calls a closer game (Colts by 5) and fewer points (43).