Bill Huber#59 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 26, 2026
After the Packers' 35-14 home loss to Atlanta, Huber revised their season forecast from 8-9 down to 5-12, going game-by-game through the remaining schedule and picking Green Bay to win only four more games (Dallas, Carolina, Minnesota, Miami).
Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original
What Bill Huber said
That adds up to a 5-12 record.
- Where it was published
- Sports Illustrated
- The piece
- Three Overreactions From Packers’ Loss to Falcons (With Record Prediction)
- The original
- Read the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidSep 26
- PlayedOct 4–Nov 8
- GradedOct 5–Nov 9
Box score, by kind
HitCloseMissWaiting| Group | Hits | Close | Misses | Waiting | Calls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Outcome Picks | 4 | 0 | 4 | 6 | |
| Availability Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Season Win Totals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| All | 4 | 0 | 4 | 8 |
How each call scored
16 checkable claims — 14 game outcome picks, 1 availability call and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 10 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
8 of 16 have settled so far, averaging 50 out of 100, against 75 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Game Outcome Picks4 hits · 4 misses · 6 waitingShow ▸Hide ▾
New England Patriots to beat Green Bay Packers
“Week 9: at New England Patriots ... Prediction: Lose.”
Packers 45–27Packers at Patriots0Miss0 − 0 naive = 0 × 1.89 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- GB
- score:
- 45-27
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- NE
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 16
Green Bay Packers to beat Carolina Panthers
“Week 8: Carolina Panthers ... The presence of Parsons swings this game in Green Bay’s direction. Prediction: Win.”
Packers 27–19Panthers at Packers100Hit100 − 100 naive = 0 × 1.89 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- GB
- score:
- 19-27
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- GB
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- GB
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 16
- Lions 20–17Packers at Lions100Hit
100 − 100 naive = 0 × 1.89 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- DET
- score:
- 17-20
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- DET
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- DET
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 16
Detroit Lions to beat Green Bay Packers
“Week 7: at Detroit Lions ... Prediction: Lose.”
Lions 20–17Packers at Lions100Hit100 − 100 naive = 0 × 1.89 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- DET
- score:
- 17-20
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- DET
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- DET
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 16
Green Bay Packers to beat Dallas Cowboys
“Week 6: Dallas Cowboys ... Prediction: Win.”
Packers 23–13Cowboys at Packers100Hit100 − 100 naive = 0 × 1.89 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- GB
- score:
- 13-23
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- GB
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- GB
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 16
Chicago Bears to beat Green Bay Packers
“Week 5: Chicago Bears ... Prediction: Lose (depending on Williams’ status).”
Packers 31–7Bears at Packers0Miss0 − 100 naive = −100 × 1.89 difficulty = −189 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- GB
- score:
- 7-31
- skill:
- −189
- they picked:
- CHI
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- GB
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 16
Chicago Bears to beat Green Bay Packers
“Week 16: at Chicago Bears ... Prediction: Lose.”
Packers 31–7Bears at Packers0Miss0 − 100 naive = −100 × 1.89 difficulty = −189 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- GB
- score:
- 7-31
- skill:
- −189
- they picked:
- CHI
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- GB
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 16
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Green Bay Packers
“Week 4: at Tampa Bay Buccaneers ... Prediction: Lose.”
Packers 17–14Packers at Buccaneers0Miss0 − 0 naive = 0 × 1.89 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- GB
- score:
- 17-14
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- TB
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- TB
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 16
Houston Texans to beat Green Bay Packers
“Week 17: Houston Texans ... Prediction: Lose.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Green Bay Packers to beat Minnesota Vikings
“Week 10: Minnesota Vikings ... Prediction: Win.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- —Waiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Los Angeles Rams to beat Green Bay Packers
“Week 12: at Los Angeles Rams ... Prediction: Lose.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
New Orleans Saints to beat Green Bay Packers
“Week 13: at New Orleans Saints ... Prediction: Lose.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Green Bay Packers to beat Miami Dolphins
“Week 15: Miami Dolphins ... The Packers might not be very good, but the Dolphins are terrible. Prediction: Win.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Availability Calls1 waitingShow ▸Hide ▾
“Week 6: Dallas Cowboys — The Cowboys’ pass rush remains terrible without Micah Parsons, who might make his debut in this game.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Season Win Totals1 waitingShow ▸Hide ▾
Green Bay Packers to finish with 5 wins
“That adds up to a 5-12 record. That seems harsh and is probably a byproduct of my own recency bias.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
The games in this take
every pundit’s pick on each- Packers at BuccaneersPackers 17Buccaneers 1422 calls →
- Bears at PackersPackers 31Bears 749 calls →
- Cowboys at PackersPackers 23Cowboys 1336 calls →
- Packers at LionsLions 20Packers 1721 calls →
- Panthers at PackersPackers 27Panthers 1926 calls →
- Packers at PatriotsPackers 45Patriots 2725 calls →
- Vikings at PackersKickoff Nov 15, 202630 calls →
- Packers at RamsKickoff Nov 26, 20265 calls →
- Packers at SaintsKickoff Dec 6, 20262 calls →
- Bills at PackersKickoff Dec 14, 20261 call →
- Dolphins at PackersKickoff Dec 20, 20262 calls →
- Texans at PackersKickoff Jan 5, 20271 call →
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
John Middlekauff · Draft Bust Calls · Caleb Williams · Miss 0
Middlekauff expects either Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson to win this year's MVP, calling them the two best players in the league. They are pessimistic on the Bears, forecasting six or seven wins and saying they'd bet Caleb Williams doesn't work out as a franchise quarterback. They also see Oklahoma's John Mattier as a first-round pick who'll be in the Heisman mix.Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · Buffalo Bills · Close 76
Prisco picked the Bills to win 21-14 at Minnesota.John Breech · Score Predictions · Buffalo Bills · Close 76
Breech picked the Bills to beat the Vikings on Monday night by a score of 24-17.Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Buffalo Bills · Close 62
Dajani picked the Bills to edge the Vikings 24-23.Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · Buffalo Bills · Close 74
Dubin picked Buffalo to win a low-scoring Monday night game in Minnesota, 20-14.Tyler Sullivan · Score Predictions · Buffalo Bills · Close 76
Sullivan picked the Bills to beat the Vikings 24-17.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Sam Monson · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins.Eva Geitheim · Game Outcome Picks · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Geitheim picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Vikings, Jaguars, Colts, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.Conor Orr · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Orr picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Chargers in Week 10.Albert Breer · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Breer picked all 14 Week 10 games straight up, favoring the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens.Mitch Goldich · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Goldich picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.Matt Verderame · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Verderame picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.