Jeremy Pargo· Oct 4, 2026
Picked winners and exact scores for every Week 4 game, including an upset of the Colts by Washington in London and a Buccaneers win over the Packers.
“Both clubs are turning a corner after getting off the schneid in Week 3, but the Commanders are in a better place, even with their starting quarterback rehabbing another dislocated elbow.”
published in writing · read the original →
16 checkable claims — 16 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 16 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
1 of 16 have settled so far, averaging 19.1 out of 100, against 10.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
The games in this take
- Colts at Commanders 24 calls
- Cowboys at Texans 31 calls
- Packers at Buccaneers 22 calls
- Rams at Eagles 28 calls
- Titans at Ravens 17 calls
- Patriots at Bills 36 calls
- Jets at Bears 26 calls
- Cardinals at Giants 20 calls
- Jaguars at Bengals 30 calls
- Dolphins at Vikings 23 calls
- Chiefs at Raiders 35 calls
- Chargers at Seahawks 25 calls
- Broncos at 49ers 27 calls
- Lions at Panthers 42 calls
- Falcons at Saints 21 calls
- Browns at Steelers 10 calls
16 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Score PredictionsWashington CommandersOct 4, 2026
Washington Commanders 24 — Indianapolis Colts 20
“Jeremy Bergman: Washington Commanders 24-20”
Miss · 19Scored 19.05a naive guess scored 10.86+14.99 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 30-13
- skill:
- 14.99
- they picked:
- WAS
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 19.05
- baseline:
- 10.86
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 17
- weeks left when called:
- 15
- naive home margin:
- 0.56
- predicted margin:
- 4
- Score PredictionsNew York JetsOct 4, 2026
New York Jets 20 — Chicago Bears 18
“Jeremy Bergman: New York Jets 20-18”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Score PredictionsJacksonville JaguarsOct 4, 2026
Jacksonville Jaguars 23 — Cincinnati Bengals 20
“Jeremy Bergman: Jacksonville Jaguars 23-20”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Score PredictionsArizona CardinalsOct 4, 2026
Arizona Cardinals 23 — New York Giants 17
“Jeremy Bergman: Arizona Cardinals 23-17”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Score PredictionsTampa Bay BuccaneersOct 4, 2026
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 17 — Green Bay Packers 16
“Jeremy Bergman: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 17-16”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Score PredictionsSeattle SeahawksOct 4, 2026
Seattle Seahawks 28 — Los Angeles Chargers 19
“Jeremy Bergman: Seattle Seahawks 28-19”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Score PredictionsDenver BroncosOct 4, 2026
Denver Broncos 16 — San Francisco 49ers 13
“Jeremy Bergman: Denver Broncos 16-13”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Score PredictionsAtlanta FalconsOct 4, 2026
Atlanta Falcons 22 — New Orleans Saints 19
“Jeremy Bergman: Atlanta Falcons 22-19”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Score PredictionsPittsburgh SteelersOct 4, 2026
Pittsburgh Steelers 17 — Cleveland Browns 16
“Jeremy Bergman: Pittsburgh Steelers 17-16”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Score PredictionsBuffalo BillsOct 4, 2026
Buffalo Bills 24 — New England Patriots 21
“Jeremy Bergman: Buffalo Bills 24-21”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Score PredictionsDallas CowboysOct 4, 2026
Dallas Cowboys 24 — Houston Texans 20
“Jeremy Bergman: Dallas Cowboys 24-20”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Score PredictionsLos Angeles RamsOct 4, 2026
Los Angeles Rams 33 — Philadelphia Eagles 26
“Jeremy Bergman: Los Angeles Rams 33-26”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Score PredictionsMinnesota VikingsOct 4, 2026
Minnesota Vikings 24 — Miami Dolphins 7
“Jeremy Bergman: Minnesota Vikings 24-7”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Score PredictionsKansas City ChiefsOct 4, 2026
Kansas City Chiefs 28 — Las Vegas Raiders 21
“Jeremy Bergman: Kansas City Chiefs 28-21”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Score PredictionsBaltimore RavensOct 4, 2026
Baltimore Ravens 24 — Tennessee Titans 10
“Jeremy Bergman: Baltimore Ravens 24-10”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Score PredictionsDetroit LionsOct 4, 2026
Detroit Lions 41 — Carolina Panthers 35
“Jeremy Bergman: Detroit Lions 41-35”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Christian BooherDepth Chart Calls · Blake MillerMiss · 0Booher lays out the Lions' projected depth chart for their Week 4 game at Carolina, naming starters, backups and reserves at every position, and suggests safety Bishop Fitzgerald could make his debut.
- Richard ShermanGame Outcome Picks · Washington CommandersMiss · 0Sherman gave his own top five entering Week 4 with the 49ers first, then made picks in every Week 4 game, including upset calls for Carolina over Detroit (with a 36-31 scoreline), Tampa Bay over Green Bay, Washington over Indianapolis and Jacksonville over Cincinnati.
- David HarrisonGame Outcome Picks · Washington CommandersMiss · 0Harrison lays out a path for the Washington Commanders to exceed their 7.5-win total, identifying eight specific games he projects them to win: home vs. Seattle (Week 3), vs. Indianapolis in London (Week 4), a sweep of the Giants (Weeks 5 and 10), at Arizona (Week 12), at Tennessee (Week 13), vs. Atlanta (Week 15) and vs. Dallas (Week 18). He also says the Bengals (Week 11) and Texans (Week 14) games are winnable.
- Chris BrockmanGame Outcome Picks · Washington CommandersMiss · 0Brockman argued Buffalo belongs in the top five and Josh Allen will be an MVP candidate, said he'd drop Dallas from the list, and made his own picks in the international games win/loss game.
- Jordan FooteRoster Spot Calls · Cole ChristiansenMiss · 0Foote writes that after the Week 4 game in Las Vegas, Cole Christiansen will revert to the Chiefs' practice squad, having exhausted his three standard elevations, and considers it unlikely Kansas City signs him to the 53-man roster given Cam Jones' remaining activations and a possible Cooper McDonald return.
- Ralph VentreRoster Spot Calls · Kani WalkerMiss · 0Ventre expects Christian Benford's toe injury to sideline him for at least the Week 4 game against New England, and believes the Bills will have to add a cornerback to the 53-man roster this week — likely by moving Benford to injured reserve — with practice squad rookie Kani Walker the most likely player elevated.
More score predictions
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Brooke CersosimoScore Predictions · Indianapolis ColtsClose · 64Picked winners and exact scores for every Week 4 game, including the Bears over the Jets, the Cowboys in the Battle for Texas and an upset of the Chiefs by the undefeated Raiders.
- Gennaro FiliceScore Predictions · Indianapolis ColtsClose · 76Picked winners and exact scores for every Week 4 game, including the Bills over a struggling Patriots offense, the Eagles over the Rams and the only Browns pick of the panel.
- Bobby KownackScore Predictions · Indianapolis ColtsClose · 67Picked winners and exact scores for every Week 4 game, including upsets by the Jets in Chicago and the Buccaneers over the Packers, plus the Jaguars at Cincinnati.
- Dan ParrScore Predictions · Indianapolis ColtsClose · 67Picked winners and exact scores for every Week 4 game, taking the 49ers to move to 4-0 over Denver, the Saints at home on Monday night and the Steelers in Cleveland.
- Seth WalderScore Predictions · Indianapolis ColtsClose · 69Walder made a 'bold prediction' for each Week 4 game — including receiving and rushing yardage marks, sacks, an interception and a Dolphins upset — and picked final scores for all 15 games on the slate.
- Pamela MaldonadoScore Predictions · Indianapolis ColtsClose · 67Maldonado picked final scores for all 15 Week 4 games, including Denver upsetting the unbeaten 49ers and Atlanta winning in New Orleans.