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Nate Tice hosts Football 301 with Nate Tice and appears on Around the NFL and Move the Sticks, covering the NFL through game previews, win-total projections and mock drafts. The predictions cover the Chiefs, Ravens, Bears, Texans and several other clubs, and draft coverage has featured prospects Cam Ward and Abdul Carter.
Across 71 graded calls in 12 articles, Nate Tice scores 69.01% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 38.36, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a limited sample, under thirty graded articles, so treat it with caution. That ranks #17 of 87 ranked NFL pundits on the MissedTakes leaderboard. Their strongest kind of call is Mock Draft Picks (72.12% accuracy across 20 graded calls); their weakest is Game Outcome Picks (58.76% across 45 graded calls).
How accurate are NFL experts overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 143 calls · one square per call
48hits68% of graded
4Close6%
19misses27%
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
Nate Tice hosts Football 301 with Nate Tice and appears on Around the NFL and Move the Sticks, covering the NFL through game previews, win-total projections and mock drafts. The predictions cover the Chiefs, Ravens, Bears, Texans and several other clubs, and draft coverage has featured prospects Cam Ward and Abdul Carter.
A longer profile is written once a record reaches 30 graded articles, and published only after a person reviews it.
71 graded calls in 12 articles, newest first — page 1 of 3. Every take from Nate Tice, including the ones still waiting →
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
72waitingnot graded yet
The same 87, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Why the ranks differ: a naive guess scores very differently depending on which calls were made, from 15.25% on the hardest record here to 85.71% on the easiest. Accuracy alone flatters easy calls, so by accuracy Nate Tice would be #24; the Score measures the lift over a naive guess on the same calls, and that puts this record at #17.
| # | Pundit | Score | Accuracy | Graded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Mike Florio | 45.89 | 64.67% | 40 |
| 16 | Mike Kadlick | 41.13 | 56.03% | 46 |
| 17 | Nate Tice | 38.36 | 69.01% | 71 |
| 18 | Carter Bahns | 37.74 | 64.23% | 36 |
| 19 | Peter Schrager | 35.4 | 70.35% | 48 |
Denver Broncos to beat Panthers
“I'm also gonna go with the Broncos here... I think they just, again, natural answers for them.”
Closing line (Nov 8): Broncos by 3 · favorite pick, Broncos 58%.
Chicago Bears to beat Bucks
“Also taking the bears... there are ways to attack this bears defense. I... The Bucks have not shown this season that they can attack that way.”
Closing line (Nov 8): Bears by 6.5 · favorite pick, Bears 71%.
Buffalo Bills to beat Vikings
“the Bills offense has a lot of answers against this Vikings defense where they don't have to reinvent the wheel... So gonna go with the Bills.”
Closing line (Nov 9): Bills by 3 · favorite pick, Bills 62%.
San Francisco 49ers to beat Raiders
“I'll go niners as well. Niners are first in DVA on offense still.”
Closing line (Nov 8): 49ers by 8.5 · favorite pick, 49ers about 3 in 4 (77%).
New England Patriots to beat packers
“I will go with patriots win, packers cover. There we go. That's how I'm gonna go with this.”
Closing line (Nov 8): Patriots by 3 · favorite pick, Patriots 62%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.
Baltimore Ravens to beat Bills
“I'm gonna go with them for unit theory. The Bills defense is just such a negative right now until proven otherwise.”
Closing line (Nov 1): Bills by 3 · underdog pick, Ravens 41%.
Seattle Seahawks to beat Bears
“I'm also going Seahawks... Seahawks, Bears, Monday night football, it's gonna bring us home.”
Closing line (Nov 2): Seahawks by 3 · favorite pick, Seahawks 60%.
New England Patriots to score 40 against Dolphins
“Playing the Patriots this week, and I think the Patriots will drop a 40 burger.”
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Falcons
“I'm gonna go Bucks, but I I really am excited to watch this one”
Closing line (Nov 1): Buccaneers by 2.5 · favorite pick, Buccaneers 54%.
Detroit Lions to beat Vikings
“But I I am gonna go to the lines as well. I think it's gonna be a great game.”
Closing line (Nov 1): Lions by 3 · favorite pick, Lions 60%.
Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Browns
“I'm gonna go Steelers, and... But I love your under tout more than anything.”
Closing line (Nov 1): Steelers by 3.5 · favorite pick, Steelers 64%.
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Broncos
“I think the Chiefs win this one too.”
Closing line (Nov 1): Broncos by 1.5 · a toss-up, Chiefs 50%, Broncos 50%.