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Nathan Jahnke#72 of 87 NFL pundits · Aug 29, 2026

PFF's preseason fantasy recap projects Colts roles: Keenan Allen as the starting Z receiver with Josh Downs in the slot, Laquon Treadwell as the backup X, and seventh-round rookie Seth McGowan as the favorite to be Jonathan Taylor's backup ahead of DJ Giddens. On the Lions, Tom Kennedy appears to have locked up a roster spot with Greg Dortch next most likely.

Published in writing · Pro Football FocusRead the original

1 of 1calls landed1 hit · 6 waiting
100Average accuracyout of 100, across 1 call
100A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
1 of 7Settled6 still waiting
#72Nathan Jahnke’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Nathan Jahnke said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
This suggests that Allen will be a Z receiver this season, leaving Downs in the slot in 11 personnel.
Nathan Jahnke, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
Pro Football Focus
The piece
2026 NFL Preseason Week 3 Recap: Immediate fantasy football takeaways from Saturday’s games
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidAug 29
  2. GradedOct 1
  1. 1Tom Kennedy to make the roster“Tom Kennedy is the next man up among the outside receivers, and appears to have secured a roster spot.”
  2. 2Laquon Treadwell to be 2nd on the depth chart“Further down the depth chart, it appears Treadwell is the backup X receiver, even though Ashton Dulin was the backup X at times last season.”
  3. 3Greg Dortch to make the roster“Greg Dortch appears to be the next man most likely to make the roster after only playing in the first half last week.”
  4. 4Keenan Allen to be 1st on the depth chart“This suggests that Allen will be a Z receiver this season, leaving Downs in the slot in 11 personnel.”
  5. 5Seth McGowan to be 2nd on the depth chart“Seth McGowan plays ahead of DJ Giddens : McGowan appears to be the current favorite for the backup job behind Jonathan Taylor.”
  6. 6DJ Giddens to be 3rd on the depth chart“This suggests McGowan is currently ahead of Giddens.”
  7. 7Josh Downs to be 1st on the depth chart“This suggests that Allen will be a Z receiver this season, leaving Downs in the slot in 11 personnel.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Tom Kennedy to make the roster1Roster Spot Calls4 weeks on a 531001000
Laquon Treadwell to be 2nd on the depth chart2Depth Chart Calls————
Greg Dortch to make the roster3Roster Spot Calls————
Keenan Allen to be 1st on the depth chart4Depth Chart Calls————
Seth McGowan to be 2nd on the depth chart5Depth Chart Calls————
DJ Giddens to be 3rd on the depth chart6Depth Chart Calls————
Josh Downs to be 1st on the depth chart7Depth Chart Calls————
7 calls · 1 hit · 6 waiting100100

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

7 checkable claims — 5 depth chart calls and 2 roster spot calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 9 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 7 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 4 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 1 and below it on 3.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Where this call stands in the room

Josh Downs · 2026 season

11 calls from 9 pundits between 1 and 2. Nathan Jahnke said 1. the room's median is 1. not settled yet

Nathan Jahnke — 1the room — 11 calls from 9 punditsmedian 1

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

  1. 1Roster Spot CallsTom KennedyDetroit Lions

    Tom Kennedy to make the roster

    What happened4 weeks on a 53
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    DET
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Tom Kennedy
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Depth Chart CallsLaquon TreadwellIndianapolis Colts

    Laquon Treadwell to be 2nd on the depth chart

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  3. 3Roster Spot CallsGreg DortchDetroit Lions

    Greg Dortch to make the roster

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  4. 4Depth Chart CallsKeenan AllenIndianapolis Colts

    Keenan Allen to be 1st on the depth chart

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  5. 5Depth Chart CallsSeth McGowanIndianapolis Colts

    Seth McGowan to be 2nd on the depth chart

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  6. 6Depth Chart CallsDJ GiddensIndianapolis Colts

    DJ Giddens to be 3rd on the depth chart

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  7. 7Depth Chart CallsJosh DownsIndianapolis Colts

    Josh Downs to be 1st on the depth chart

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More depth chart calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.