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Mike FanelliNov 6, 2026

Fanelli suggested Keenan Allen may be dealt away from Indianapolis, with Week 9 potentially their final appearance for the Colts.

Published in writing · FantasyProsRead the original

100Hit · out of 100
Trade and Signing CallsThe callsettled
0A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
100This callout of 100
+156Skillafter difficulty

What Mike Fanelli said

Sunday could be Keenan Allen's last game with the Colts, as his name has come up in trade conversations.
Our reading: Keenan Allen to move — “last game with the Colts”
Where it was published
FantasyPros
The piece
10 Fantasy Football Stats You Need to Know (Week 9)
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidNov 6
  2. GradedNov 11

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. Trade and Signing CallsKeenan Allen

    Keenan Allen to move — “last game with the Colts”

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.56difficulty+156skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    156
    player:
    Keenan Allen
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he leaves
    was with:
    LAC
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    reported:
    traded → SF (from IND)
    settled by:
    a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
    difficulty:
    1.56
    the naive guess:
    he stays where he is
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    10
    Think this is wrong?

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