Chris Simms· Oct 16, 2026
Simms picked every Week 6 game with a projected final score, including upset calls on the Falcons over the Bears and the Eagles over the Panthers, and predicted comfortable wins for New England, Buffalo, Green Bay and San Francisco.
“I think it's a defensive struggle, ugly type of football game. I'm gonna say 20 to 16 Jacksonville.”
said on air, transcribed by us · Chris Simms Unbuttoned (podcast) · read the original →
13 checkable claims — 13 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 13 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 13 have settled, averaging 58.8 out of 100, against 53.1 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
The games in this take
- Texans at Jaguars 33 calls
- Jets at Patriots 24 calls
- Titans at Colts 42 calls
- Ravens at Browns 21 calls
- Panthers at Eagles 23 calls
- Steelers at Buccaneers 20 calls
- Saints at Giants 22 calls
- Bears at Falcons 25 calls
- Cardinals at Rams 33 calls
- Chargers at Chiefs 30 calls
- Bills at Raiders 23 calls
- Cowboys at Packers 36 calls
- Commanders at 49ers 27 calls
13 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
- Score PredictionsSan Francisco 49ersOct 16, 2026
San Francisco 49ers 31 — commanders 17
“I hear what you're saying all the way as far as, I got a thirty one seventeen forty niners.”
Hit · 81Scored 80.95a naive guess scored 86.23-9.07 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 17-23
- skill:
- −9.07
- they picked:
- SF
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 80.95
- baseline:
- 86.23
- difficulty:
- 1.72
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 6
- weeks left when called:
- 13
- naive home margin:
- 0.22
- predicted margin:
- 14
Closing line (Oct 19): 49ers by 7.5, total 51.5 · this 31–17 calls a bigger 49ers win (by 14) and fewer points (48).
- Score PredictionsGreen Bay PackersOct 16, 2026
Green Bay Packers 34 — Cowboys 24
“I I like the Packers all the way in this one. I'm gonna say thirty four twenty four Packers.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 76.55+40.33 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 13-23
- skill:
- 40.33
- they picked:
- GB
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 76.55
- difficulty:
- 1.72
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 10
- weeks left when called:
- 13
- naive home margin:
- 0.15
- predicted margin:
- 10
Closing line (Oct 18): Cowboys by 1.5, total 53.5 · this 34–24 calls a Packers win (by 10; the line gave the Packers 49%) and more points (58).
- Score PredictionsKansas City ChiefsOct 16, 2026
Kansas City Chiefs 23 — Chargers 20
“I got them winning. I think it will be close. 2320, Chiefs win this one.”
Close · 69Scored 69.05a naive guess scored 62.27+11.66 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 6-22
- skill:
- 11.66
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 69.05
- baseline:
- 62.27
- difficulty:
- 1.72
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 16
- weeks left when called:
- 13
- naive home margin:
- 0.15
- predicted margin:
- 3
Closing line (Oct 18): Chiefs by 7.5, total 41.5 · this 23–20 calls a closer game (Chiefs by 3) and more points (43).
- Score PredictionsPittsburgh SteelersOct 16, 2026
Pittsburgh Steelers 24 — Bucks 20
“I'm taking the Steelers... So I'm going twenty four twenty Steelers.”
Hit · 93Scored 92.86a naive guess scored 33.7+101.76 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 26-19
- skill:
- 101.76
- they picked:
- PIT
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 92.86
- baseline:
- 33.7
- difficulty:
- 1.72
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 7
- weeks left when called:
- 13
- naive home margin:
- 0.15
- predicted margin:
- 4
Closing line (Oct 18): Steelers by 2.5, total 38.5 · this 24–20 calls a bigger Steelers win (by 4) and more points (44).
- Score PredictionsBuffalo BillsOct 16, 2026
Buffalo Bills 38 — Raiders 28
“I I got bills $38.28, which would destroy the over.”
Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 43.22+69 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 33-30
- skill:
- 69
- they picked:
- BUF
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 83.33
- baseline:
- 43.22
- difficulty:
- 1.72
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 13
- naive home margin:
- 0.15
- predicted margin:
- 10
Closing line (Oct 18): Bills by 5.5, total 53.5 · this 38–28 calls a bigger Bills win (by 10) and more points (66).
- Score PredictionsLos Angeles RamsOct 16, 2026
Los Angeles Rams 37 — Cardinals 24
“Thirty eight thirty seven twenty four, excuse me Okay. With the Rams. So, yeah, I got them barely covering.”
Miss · 24Scored 23.81a naive guess scored 45.6-37.48 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 18-16
- skill:
- −37.48
- they picked:
- LAR
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 23.81
- baseline:
- 45.6
- difficulty:
- 1.72
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 13
- naive home margin:
- 0.15
- predicted margin:
- 13
Closing line (Oct 18): Rams by 12.5, total 51.5 · this 37–24 calls a bigger Rams win (by 13) and more points (61). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread.
- Score PredictionsNew York GiantsOct 16, 2026
New York Giants 30 — Saints 27
“I like the Giants to to kinda win it. I'm gonna say, like, a little bit of a shootout. I'm gonna go 30 to 27. Giants win this one.”
Close · 40Scored 40.48a naive guess scored 33.33+12.29 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 34-27
- skill:
- 12.29
- they picked:
- NYG
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 40.48
- baseline:
- 33.33
- difficulty:
- 1.72
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 7
- weeks left when called:
- 13
- naive home margin:
- 0
- predicted margin:
- 3
Closing line (Oct 18): Saints by 1.5, total 46.5 · this 30–27 calls a Giants win (by 3) and more points (57).
- Score PredictionsBaltimore RavensOct 16, 2026
Baltimore Ravens 27 — Cleveland 19
“I'd like the Ravens here 27 to 19.”
Miss · 38Scored 38.1a naive guess scored 92.86-94.19 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 10-13
- skill:
- −94.19
- they picked:
- BAL
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 38.1
- baseline:
- 92.86
- difficulty:
- 1.72
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 13
- naive home margin:
- 0
- predicted margin:
- 8
Closing line (Oct 18): Ravens by 3, total 39.5 · this 27–19 calls a bigger Ravens win (by 8) and more points (46).
- Score PredictionsIndianapolis ColtsOct 16, 2026
Indianapolis Colts 24 — Titans 21
“So I'm going Colts here, twenty four twenty one. I think this is a close one.”
Close · 43Scored 42.86a naive guess scored 35.71+12.29 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 26-20
- skill:
- 12.29
- they picked:
- IND
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 42.86
- baseline:
- 35.71
- difficulty:
- 1.72
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 6
- weeks left when called:
- 13
- naive home margin:
- 0
- predicted margin:
- 3
Closing line (Oct 18): Colts by 6.5, total 43.5 · this 24–21 calls a closer game (Colts by 3) and more points (45).
- Score PredictionsNew England PatriotsOct 16, 2026
New England Patriots 34 — New York Jets 17
“I'm taking New England here. Let me just make sure. 34 to 17.”
Close · 76Scored 76.19a naive guess scored 83.33-12.29 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 19-26
- skill:
- −12.29
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 76.19
- baseline:
- 83.33
- difficulty:
- 1.72
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 7
- weeks left when called:
- 13
- naive home margin:
- 0
- predicted margin:
- 17
Closing line (Oct 18): Patriots by 7.5, total 43.5 · this 34–17 calls a bigger Patriots win (by 17) and more points (51).
- Score PredictionsPhiladelphia EaglesOct 16, 2026
Philadelphia Eagles 17 — Carolina 14
“This is one of my upsets of the week here... I'm gonna go seventeen fourteen. Eagles get the win.”
Miss · 31Scored 30.95a naive guess scored 23.81+12.29 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 25-14
- skill:
- 12.29
- they picked:
- PHI
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 30.95
- baseline:
- 23.81
- difficulty:
- 1.72
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 11
- weeks left when called:
- 13
- naive home margin:
- 0
- predicted margin:
- 3
Closing line (Oct 18): Panthers by 3, total 39.5 · this 17–14 calls a Eagles win (by 3; the line gave the Eagles 41%) and fewer points (31).
- Score PredictionsJacksonville JaguarsOct 16, 2026
Jacksonville Jaguars 20 — Texans 16
“I think it's a defensive struggle, ugly type of football game. I'm gonna say 20 to 16 Jacksonville.”
Close · 48Scored 47.62a naive guess scored 42.86+8.19 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 34-31
- skill:
- 8.19
- they picked:
- JAX
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 47.62
- baseline:
- 42.86
- difficulty:
- 1.72
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 13
- naive home margin:
- 0
- predicted margin:
- 4
Closing line (Oct 18): Jaguars by 2.5, total 42.5 · this 20–16 calls a bigger Jaguars win (by 4) and fewer points (36).
- Score PredictionsAtlanta FalconsOct 16, 2026
Atlanta Falcons 23 — Chicago bears 20
“I'm gonna take the Falcons to win this one. We're gonna upset the... I'm gonna go twenty three twenty. Falcons win this game at home.”
Miss · 38Scored 38.1a naive guess scored 30.95+12.29 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 31-23
- skill:
- 12.29
- they picked:
- ATL
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 38.1
- baseline:
- 30.95
- difficulty:
- 1.72
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 8
- weeks left when called:
- 13
- naive home margin:
- 0
- predicted margin:
- 3
Closing line (Oct 18): Bears by 1.5, total 51.5 · this 23–20 calls a Falcons win (by 3; the line gave the Falcons 48%) and fewer points (43).
What others said about the same people
- Trevor RipleyScore Predictions · Buffalo BillsClose · 76Ripley picks the Bills to beat the Vikings in their Week 9 Monday night matchup, predicting a 27-20 Buffalo win, and expects Carson Wentz to start for Minnesota with Kyler Murray sidelined.
- Brooke CersosimoGame Outcome Picks · Buffalo BillsHit · 100Picks the Bills over the Vikings.
- Moe MotonGame Outcome Picks · Buffalo BillsHit · 100Picks the Bills to win.
- Pamela MaldonadoGame Outcome Picks · Buffalo BillsHit · 100Picks the Bills to win.
- Kristopher KnoxGame Outcome Picks · Buffalo BillsHit · 100Picks the Bills over the Vikings.
- Brent SobleskiGame Outcome Picks · Buffalo BillsHit · 100Picks the Bills over the Vikings.
More score predictions
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Jeremy BrenerScore Predictions · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Brener picked the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in Week 9 by a multi-score margin, giving a final score of 27-13, and expressed confidence Seattle would be fine with Drew Lock starting at quarterback.
- Randy GurziScore Predictions · Seattle SeahawksHit · 93Gurzi expects Seattle to win comfortably again with Drew Lock starting, predicting a 27-10 Seahawks victory.
- Pete PriscoScore Predictions · Houston TexansClose · 55Prisco gives score predictions for every Week 9 NFL game, picking the Bengals to rout the Falcons in Madrid, the Cowboys to rebound at Indianapolis, and the Jaguars to win in Baltimore without Lamar Jackson.
- Bryan DeArdoScore Predictions · Chicago BearsHit · 98DeArdo picks the Bears to beat the Buccaneers on Sunday night in a defensive game, predicting a 20-16 final score.
- Randy GurziScore Predictions · Seattle SeahawksHit · 93Predicts Seattle runs away with the game, 27-10 over Arizona.
- Russell BaxterScore Predictions · Seattle SeahawksClose · 79Predicts the Seahawks beat the Cardinals 26-21 in Week 9, with Seattle's pass rush making Gardner Minshew uncomfortable.