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Doug JoubertAug 30, 2026

Joubert expects Daniel Carlson to win the Saints' place kicker job, as reflected in the site's final 53-man roster projection.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

1 of 1calls landed1 hit · 1 waiting
100Average accuracyout of 100, across 1 call
100A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
1 of 2Settled1 still waiting
1Waitingnot graded yet

What Doug Joubert said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Daniel Carlson , who we expect to take the place kicker's slot as seen in our final 53-man roster projection
Doug Joubert, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
Sports Illustrated
The piece
What Grades Are Handed Out by PFF to the Saints in their Win over the Cowboys?
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidAug 30
  2. GradedSep 25
  1. 1Daniel Carlson to make the roster“who we expect to take the place kicker's slot as seen in our final 53-man roster projection”
  2. 2Daniel Carlson to be 1st on the depth chart“Daniel Carlson , who we expect to take the place kicker's slot as seen in our final 53-man roster projection , hit his 38-yard field goal”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Daniel Carlson to make the roster1Roster Spot Calls3 weeks on a 531001000
Daniel Carlson to be 1st on the depth chart2Depth Chart Calls————
2 calls · 1 hit · 1 waiting100100

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 depth chart call and 1 roster spot call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. What happened3 weeks on a 53
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    NO
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Daniel Carlson
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Depth Chart CallsDaniel CarlsonNew Orleans Saints

    Daniel Carlson to be 1st on the depth chart

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More depth chart calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.