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David Pakman· Sep 29, 2026

Pakman argues Republicans are in serious trouble heading into the midterms and are likely to lose their House majority, saying they are headed for a bad defeat.

“there's a guy who is having a real problem with the fact that things aren't going so well for Republicans in the house and they are likely to lose”

said on air, transcribed by us · The David Pakman Show · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

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1 checkable claim in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Chamber ControlSep 29, 2026

    “Now there's a guy who is having a real problem with the fact that things aren't going so well for Republicans in the house and they are likely to lose. ... Very dangerous play in advance of midterms they are likely to get destroyed in.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

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More chamber control

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.