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Writes at The Megyn Kelly Show
Is Henry Olsen accurate? Across 4 graded calls in 2 articles, Henry Olsen scores 97.5% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 54.67, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.
100% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.
“Virginia 3 is the African American district that I was talking about. The Republicans are not going to win that seat”
“and I think Republicans keep a narrow margin in the house”
“Trump up in the electoral college by two ninety seven to two forty one... we'll know who the president is on Wednesday morning, and that president will be Donald Trump.”
“Nevada is probably the single best state for early voting news for Republicans, but it still does not mean you say it's over... It's probably the best indicative state for a Republican win, but it is not at all anything that will will let me do more than say, maybe I'll give them a slight edge if I'm on a betting market today.”