Loading…
Loading…
Writes at RealClearPolitics Podcast
Is Carl Cannon accurate? Across 13 graded calls in 6 articles, Carl Cannon scores 97.25% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 38.38, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.
100% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.
“We we might get the senate, you know, going Republican. We kinda half expect that.”
“He's gonna be the last statewide democrat elected in a while, I think, in that state. So that's that's gone... So West Virginia is one seat.”
“Ohio is now dependably Republican statewide elections. Donald Trump's poised to carry it”
“West Virginia is gone for the Democrats. They know that.”
“Our guess is based on the polling that Montana is also going to go Republicans. That's a pickup.”
“but Georgia, if Trump doesn't win Georgia, I'll be I'll be surprised. I'll just... I I think it's gonna be very close, but, you know, one or two point win, it looks like, there to me.”
“Kamala Harris is gonna carry her home state by 4,000,000 votes or more.”
“She's gonna carry Donald Trump's home state by a million and a half votes or more.”
“Trump will probably win Florida and Texas by but you know, by a few 100,000 votes”
“Trump will probably win Florida and Texas by but you know, by a few 100,000 votes”
“Kamala Harris is gonna win her home state of California by 4,000,000 votes or more. Maybe maybe considerably more.”
“She's gonna win Donald Trump's home state by 1,500,000 votes, maybe more. ... He was born in New York.”
“but Maryland's gonna go to Trump by... It's gonna vote Biden over Trump by 30 points.”