Packers 27, Panthers 19: Just One Pundit Sided With Carolina
Drafted by a language model from MissedTakes' graded data, then reviewed and approved by Ben Garves before publishing. How our posts are made
Did any pundit take Carolina to win at Lambeau?
Just one. Of the 15 pundits we tracked with a pick on this Week 8 game, 14 took the Packers and one took the Panthers, the same split the game page counts. Green Bay won 27-19, so 14 of those 15 winner picks were right. Across all 26 graded calls on this game, winner picks and final scores together, the average accuracy was 93.
The single Carolina pick came from a caller identified only as Kason from Fort Worth, on The Rich Eisen Show (podcast), made Aug. 28: "week eight, you're going to the Lambeau and the Green Bay Packers. ... we upset them last year. I think we're gonna do it again this this year. That's a dub." It scored zero, worse than picking the home team, which is what the MissedTakes Score measures: a score of -200, among the worst scores MissedTakes has graded.
Which score predictions came closest to 27-19?
Three predictions missed the final margin by a single point. Jared Dubin, John Breech and Pete Prisco each called a seven-point Green Bay win; the Packers won by eight. Dubin, Oct. 29: "Prediction: Packers 24, Panthers 17." Breech, Oct. 27: "Packers 30-23 over Panthers." Prisco, Oct. 28: "Pick: Packers 31, Panthers 24." All three scored a MissedTakes Score of 28.47, the highest of any score call on this game. Picking the home Packers alone is worth zero on that scale; getting the margin within a point is what pushed each one well above it.
Bill Huber and Tyler Sullivan were two points off, each calling a 10-point Green Bay win ("Bill's Prediction: Packers 27, Panthers 17," Oct. 29; "Tyler Sullivan's pick: Packers 30-20 over Panthers," Oct. 29). At the other extreme, Jacob Westendorf and Connor "Boston Connor" Campbell both called three-point games and missed by five: Westendorf's "Jacob's Prediction: Packers 17, Panthers 14," and Campbell's forecast of "twenty seven twenty four."
| Pundit | Predicted score | Packers margin called | Missed by |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Dubin | Packers 24-17 | 7 | 1 |
| John Breech | Packers 30-23 | 7 | 1 |
| Pete Prisco | Packers 31-24 | 7 | 1 |
| Bill Huber | Packers 27-17 | 10 | 2 |
| Tyler Sullivan | Packers 30-20 | 10 | 2 |
| Bill Bender | Packers 27-22 | 5 | 3 |
| Jeremy Cluff | Packers 27-23 | 4 | 4 |
| Jordan Dajani | Packers 27-23 | 4 | 4 |
| Connor Campbell | Packers 27-24 | 3 | 5 |
| Jacob Westendorf | Packers 17-14 | 3 | 5 |
How does this game sit against these pundits' season records?
Dubin's Week 8 call beat his own typical numbers by a wide margin. His score-prediction average across 92 graded calls this season is 55.88 accuracy and a -0.86 MissedTakes Score; Thursday's call scored 97.62 accuracy and 28.47. Prisco's average on 142 score predictions is 60.7 accuracy and an 11.35 score, below Thursday's mark. Breech's average on 136 score predictions is 60.98 accuracy and 11.29, again short of what his Packers call produced. For all three, this was a call well above what they usually produce, not a typical result.
What do pundits still expect from Green Bay and Carolina this season?
Prisco picked Green Bay to win the NFC North outright on Sept. 8, citing Jordan Love and a returning Micah Parsons. Huber's season win-total call for the Packers has moved three times: 8-9 before the opener on Sept. 13, down to 5-12 after a Sept. 26 home loss to Atlanta, back to 8-9 by Oct. 19, and nine wins by Oct. 26. Breech's preseason forecast had Carolina finishing 6-11 and last in the NFC South on Sept. 7, but his in-season simulations since have the Panthers winning the division anyway, at a projected 7-10, on both Sept. 23 and Sept. 30. Those calls sit among the Packers' 27 tracked season win-total calls and the Panthers' 19, and Breech's 185 graded calls and 59.14 overall accuracy are good enough for a place on the leaderboard.