Sleeper Calls
Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.
- Takes logged
- 1,251
- Graded
- 179
- Average accuracy
- 53.1
- Pundits
- 79
14% settled
out of 100
have made one
How these calls land
Takes in each band
Settled or waiting
179 / 1,251
graded
1,072 still pending
By season
- 2025179 of 183 graded
- 20260 of 1068 graded
Who is good at sleeper calls
- Simon Hunter100 accuracy · 1 graded+200.0
- Tom Strachan75 accuracy · 16 graded+100.0
- Seth Woolcock67 accuracy · 3 graded+66.7
- Derek Brown60 accuracy · 34 graded+40.0
- Pat Fitzmaurice56 accuracy · 28 graded+22.4
- Ryan Wormeli55 accuracy · 11 graded+20.0
- Sean Kerner50 accuracy · 2 graded+0.0
- Mason Dodd47 accuracy · 15 graded-13.3
- Andrew Erickson46 accuracy · 25 graded-17.1
- Chris Raybon43 accuracy · 7 graded-28.6
- Joe Pisapia40 accuracy · 6 graded-40.0
- Chris Welsh33 accuracy · 11 graded-66.7
- Joe Dolan33 accuracy · 6 graded-66.7
- Scott Bogman33 accuracy · 3 graded-66.7
- Terrell Furman Jr33 accuracy · 3 graded-66.7
- Jake Ciely17 accuracy · 8 graded-133.3
provisionalRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.
By publisher
- The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)44.1 · 179 graded
Every sleeper calls take
401–425 of 1,251
Dalton Schultz to outplay his draft cost (late-round)
Consider Schultz a midrange TE2 for fantasy. (listed among late-round tight ends experts love to target)
AJ Barner to outplay his draft cost (late-round)
Consider Barner a midrange to low-end TE2 for 2026 fantasy drafts.
Dallas Goedert to outplay his draft cost (late-round)
Let's dive into a few notable late-round tight ends fantasy football experts love to target. ... Dallas Goedert (PHI)
Isaiah Likely to outplay his draft cost (late-round dart)
Likely could easily be a solid TE1 this season and is worth a late-round dart in a ton of drafts in 2026.
CeeDee Lamb to outplay his draft cost (1.08)
If you're happy to believe 2025 was a blip rather than the new normal, it becomes easier to see Lamb as a value pick in this range.
K.C. Concepcion to outplay his draft cost (ADP 129.28 | WR53)
KC Concepcion (CLE) – ADP 129.28 | WR53 ... Concepcion remains my favorite Cleveland wide receiver for 2026.
James Cook to outplay his draft cost (ADP 11.31 | RB6)
James Cook (BUF) – ADP 11.31 | RB6 ... making Cook one of my favorite players to draft this year.
DJ Moore to outplay his draft cost (ADP 57.96 | WR28)
DJ Moore (BUF) – ADP 57.96 | WR28 ... Moore could have similar production with Allen under center.
D'Andre Swift to outplay his draft cost (ADP 54.46 | RB24)
D'Andre Swift (CHI) – ADP 54.46 | RB24 ... Some believe that Kyle Monangai will replace Swift as the Bears' starting running back this season. However, there is nothing to suggest that it will happen.
Daniel Jones to outplay his draft cost (ADP 161.26 | QB25)
Daniel Jones (IND) – ADP 161.26 | QB25 ... Jones should be drafted significantly higher than the 26th quarterback off the board just based on last year's success.
Juwan Johnson to outplay his draft cost (ADP 153.53 | TE17)
Juwan Johnson (NO) – ADP 153.53 | TE17 ... Johnson is now the obvious candidate to fill Tyson's No. 2 receiving role.
De'Von Achane to outplay his draft cost (ADP of RB9 (15th overall))
before finally reaching my conclusion on whether he truly warrants a full fade, given his ADP of RB9 (15th overall) ... even paying the full mobility tax, the floor is elite
Malachi Fields to outplay his draft cost (late-round fantasy target)
Fields is now a viable late-round fantasy target
Ja'Kobi Lane to outplay his draft cost (late-round dart throw)
Lane is a worthwhile late-round dart throw, and his ADP is likely to rise.
Blake Corum to outplay his draft cost (RB34 (96th overall))
A down season for Corum in 2026 would be a small miss, since his ADP as of this writing is RB34 (96th overall). ... This is a bet worth making.
Justin Herbert to outplay his draft cost (Round 7 or 8)
I'm not afraid to pull the trigger on Herbert in Round 7 or 8 (if he falls).
Harold Fannin Jr. to outplay his draft cost (coming off the board around the sixth-round/seventh-round turn)
Harold Fannin is coming off the board around the sixth-round/seventh-round turn... there are some gems to be mined at tight end in the middle rounds.
Brock Purdy to outplay his draft cost (a late-eighth-round ADP)
Brock Purdy has a late-eighth-round ADP... I would rather have a Brock Purdy/Ladd McConkey combo than a Josh Allen/Michael Wilson combo.
Justin Herbert to outplay his draft cost (an ADP of QB9 and is going in the back half of the seventh round)
His offensive line should be healthier and better, and the arrival of offensive coordinator Mike McDaniel could help unlock the sort of big passing numbers that Herbert produced in his first three seasons.
Trevor Lawrence to outplay his draft cost (an ADP of QB10 and is coming off the board around the seventh-round/eighth-round turn)
Trevor Lawrence has an ADP of QB10 and is coming off the board around the seventh-round/eighth-round turn... The middle rounds, not the early rounds, are where you should do your QB shopping.
Kyle Pitts to outplay his draft cost (being drafted in the seventh round)
The much-maligned Kyle Pitts is being drafted in the seventh round... Kevin Stefanski is the Falcons' new head coach, and the tight ends in Stefanski's Cleveland offenses averaged 164.3 targets over the last three seasons.
- PendingFantasyProsSleeper Calls2026 season
Rashid Shaheed to outplay his draft cost (ADP 52)
3 Rashid Shaheed SEA 57 52
Rashid ShaheedSeattle Seahawks
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 22, 2026 - PendingFantasyProsSleeper Calls2026 season
Denzel Boston to outplay his draft cost (ADP 60)
6 Denzel Boston CLE 58 60
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 22, 2026 - PendingFantasyProsSleeper Calls2026 season
Travis Hunter to outplay his draft cost (ADP 62)
10 Travis Hunter JAC 65 62
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 22, 2026 - PendingFantasyProsSleeper Calls2026 season
Deebo Samuel Sr. to outplay his draft cost (ADP 50)
4 Deebo Samuel Sr. SF 54 50
Deebo Samuel Sr.San Francisco 49ers
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 22, 2026
By sport
NFL — sleeper calls (179 graded)
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