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Tom StrachanAug 23, 2026

In a guide to drafting from pick 1.08, Strachan targets Jonathan Taylor, CeeDee Lamb and James Cook (plus Amon-Ra St. Brown), arguing Taylor and Cook have top-two RB upside and St. Brown could finish as the overall WR1, while warning against taking elite tight ends Brock Bowers or Trey McBride or Ashton Jeanty that early.

Published in writing · FantasyProsRead the original

Waiting7 calls, none settled yet
—Average accuracynothing settled yet
—A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
0 of 7Settled7 still waiting
7Waitingnot graded yet

What Tom Strachan said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
There's a very real world where Taylor is a top-two back this season.
Tom Strachan, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
FantasyPros
The piece
Fantasy Football Mock Draft: How to Approach Pick 1.08 (2026)
The original
Read the original
  1. 1Brock Bowers to fall short of his draft cost (1.08)“Whether you prefer Brock Bowers or Trey McBride doesn't really matter. Neither should be drafted this high.”
  2. 2CeeDee Lamb to outplay his draft cost (1.08)“If you're happy to believe 2025 was a blip rather than the new normal, it becomes easier to see Lamb as a value pick in this range.”
  3. 3Ashton Jeanty to fall short of his draft cost (1.08)“Jeanty has bags of talent, and he's a fine pick at the back end of the first round, but taking him over proven assets in better environments would be a mistake.”
  4. 4Trey McBride to fall short of his draft cost (1.08)“Whether you prefer Brock Bowers or Trey McBride doesn't really matter. Neither should be drafted this high.”
  5. 5Jonathan Taylor to finish top 2 at his position, by fantasy points“There's a very real world where Taylor is a top-two back this season.”
  6. 6Amon-Ra St. Brown to finish top 1 at his position, by fantasy points“it's fair to point out that not much more would need to swing his way for a WR1 overall finish”
  7. 7James Cook to finish top 2 at his position, by fantasy points“If reports from training camp are true and the Bills do use Cook more in the receiving game, a top-two finish is within his range of outcomes.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Brock Bowers to fall short of his draft cost (1.08)1Fantasy Bust Calls————
CeeDee Lamb to outplay his draft cost (1.08)2Sleeper Calls————
Ashton Jeanty to fall short of his draft cost (1.08)3Fantasy Bust Calls————
Trey McBride to fall short of his draft cost (1.08)4Fantasy Bust Calls————
Jonathan Taylor to finish top 2 at his position, by fantasy points5Positional Finishes————
Amon-Ra St. Brown to finish top 1 at his position, by fantasy points6Positional Finishes————
James Cook to finish top 2 at his position, by fantasy points7Positional Finishes————
7 calls · 7 waiting——

How each call scored

7 checkable claims — 3 fantasy bust calls, 3 positional finishes and 1 sleeper call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 13 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Of the 2 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room on every one.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Fantasy Bust CallsBrock BowersLas Vegas Raiders

    Brock Bowers to fall short of his draft cost (1.08)

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  2. 2Sleeper CallsCeeDee LambDallas Cowboys

    CeeDee Lamb to outplay his draft cost (1.08)

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  3. 3Fantasy Bust CallsAshton JeantyLas Vegas Raiders

    Ashton Jeanty to fall short of his draft cost (1.08)

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  4. 4Fantasy Bust CallsTrey McBrideArizona Cardinals

    Trey McBride to fall short of his draft cost (1.08)

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  5. 5Positional FinishesJonathan TaylorIndianapolis Colts

    Jonathan Taylor to finish top 2 at his position, by fantasy points

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  6. 6Positional FinishesAmon-Ra St. BrownDetroit Lions

    Amon-Ra St. Brown to finish top 1 at his position, by fantasy points

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  7. 7Positional FinishesJames CookBuffalo Bills

    James Cook to finish top 2 at his position, by fantasy points

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More fantasy bust calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.