Andrew Erickson#30 of 87 NFL pundits · Aug 23, 2026
After examining the effect of a mobile quarterback (Malik Willis) on De'Von Achane's receiving usage, Erickson concludes the 'scramble tax' costs Achane only about a point per game and that the market has discounted him a full round, framing him as worth his RB9/15th-overall cost.
Published in writing · FantasyProsRead the original
What Andrew Erickson said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromThe entire scary “mobile QB kills RB targets” narrative, applied to the most extreme QB swap in the league, costs Achane about one point per game — and the market discounted him a full round for it.
- Where it was published
- FantasyPros
- The piece
- Fantasy Football Do Not Draft List: Running Backs to Avoid (2026)
- The original
- Read the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- 1Malik Willis to be 1st on the depth chart“Insert Malik Willis as QB1 in Miami, who will definitely rely on his legs a ton in 2026.”
- 2De'Von Achane to outplay his draft cost (ADP of RB9 (15th overall))“before finally reaching my conclusion on whether he truly warrants a full fade, given his ADP of RB9 (15th overall) ... even paying the full mobility tax, the floor is elite”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Willis to be 1st on the depth chart1 | Depth Chart Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| De'Von Achane to outplay his draft cost (ADP of RB9 (15th overall))2 | Sleeper Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| 2 calls · 2 waiting | — | — | ||||
How each call scored
2 checkable claims — 1 depth chart call and 1 sleeper call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.
Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Where this call stands in the room
Malik Willis · 2026 season29 calls from 18 pundits between 1 and 1. Andrew Erickson said 1. the room's median is 1. not settled yet
Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.
Their call against the room
Their call against everyone else's, while this is still unsettled.
1Depth Chart CallsMalik WillisMiami Dolphins
Malik Willis to be 1st on the depth chart
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
2Sleeper CallsDe'Von AchaneMiami Dolphins
De'Von Achane to outplay his draft cost (ADP of RB9 (15th overall))
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Alain Poupart · Roster Spot Calls · Carlos Washington · Miss 0
Poupart expects rookie guard Kadyn Proctor to clear concussion protocol and play against Detroit, sees Ollie Gordon II continuing as the Dolphins' workhorse back, and thinks practice squad back Carlos Washington Jr. could be elevated for the Lions game.Nick Brinkerhoff · Score Predictions · Miami Dolphins · Hit 100
Predicts a 23-20 Dolphins win over the Jets.Mike Kadlick · Game Outcome Picks · Miami Dolphins · Hit 100
Picks the Dolphins to beat the Jets.Alain Poupart · Score Predictions · Miami Dolphins · Hit 98
Picks the Dolphins to upset the Jets 24-20, citing New York's run-defense problems against a Miami ground game led by Ollie Gordon II and Malik Willis.Alain Poupart · Game Outcome Picks · Miami Dolphins · Hit 100
Picks the Jets to beat the Dolphins 19-17, while predicting Miami will get its win over New York in the rematch five weeks later.Jourdan Rodrigue · Game Outcome Picks · Miami Dolphins · Hit 100
Roderick picked the Vikings to smash the Colts, the Dolphins to win their first game of the season against the Jets, and the Saints to upset the Steelers in Paris.
More depth chart calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Michael Moore · Depth Chart Calls · Shedeur Sanders · Hit 100
In a Week 9 injury roundup, Moore forecast which banged-up fantasy contributors would play or sit: Deshaun Watson, Garrett Wilson, David Montgomery, Mike Evans, Deebo Samuel, TreVeyon Henderson and Terrance Ferguson are expected out, while Travis Kelce, Saquon Barkley, Michael Wilson, Christian Watson and Emeka Egbuka should play. They also expect Shedeur Sanders and Drew Lock to start at quarterback.Nic Bodiford · Depth Chart Calls · Joe Fagnano · Hit 100
Previewing Week 9 running game matchups, Bodiford expects Jacksonville to win lopsidedly over a depleted Baltimore team, with Bhayshul Tuten sitting out and Chris Rodriguez taking over as lead back, while Joe Fagnano starts at quarterback for the Ravens. They also view Broncos rookie Jonah Coleman as an RB2 going forward.