Andrew Erickson

Andrew Erickson is a fantasy football analyst at FantasyPros, where he writes about draft strategy, sleepers, and players to avoid. His work focuses on identifying value across fantasy rosters — from late-round targets to consensus busts — and he appears on The Herd with Colin Cowherd podcast. He covers a range of NFL teams and players, with particular attention to skill position players like Chase Brown, Drake London, and Tee Higgins.

Writes at FantasyPros

Every take from Andrew Erickson, including the ones still waiting →

Is Andrew Erickson accurate? Across 119 graded calls in 18 articles, Andrew Erickson scores 54.85% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 13.08, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a limited sample, under thirty graded articles, so treat it with caution.

54.85%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

13.08

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

119

Graded calls

across 18 articles. 156 more not yet settled.

A limited sample — under 30 graded articles.

99.09% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

Graded calls · 119

3 of 18 graded articles on this page, newest first — page 3 of 4.

Erickson's must-have targets round by round: Nico Collins in round one (1,500 receiving yards if healthy), Drake London as a top-five WR in round two, Omarion Hampton as the Chargers' bell cow in round three, Kenneth Walker as a top-five fantasy back in round four, plus Tetairoa McMillan, Jaylen Waddle, Ricky Pearsall, Jordan Mason, Tucker Kraft, Drake Maye and a set of late-round fliers.24 graded calls · Aug 23, 2025
- Tetairoa McMillan to outplay his draft cost (round five)
  “That's Roald McMillan, wide receiver for the Carolina Panthers. I just think that he's being drafted closer to his floor than his ceiling, which I mean he could be a fantasy wide receiver one this year.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
  How this was scored
  call:
  sleeper
  cost:
  round five
  naive:
  a player with no record returns what an unknown at his position is worth
  skill:
  200
  player:
  Tetairoa McMillan
  season:
  2025
  correct:
  yes
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  position:
  WR
  had to beat:
  WR36
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  actual finish:
  WR13
  weeks left when called:
  18
  measured against:
  the source named no cost, and he has no prior season — measured against the startable tier
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Braelon Allen to outplay his draft cost (round thirteen)
  “Round thirteen is Bringlan Allen running back for the New York Jets”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
  How this was scored
  call:
  sleeper
  cost:
  round thirteen
  naive:
  he repeats last season
  skill:
  -200
  player:
  Braelon Allen
  season:
  2025
  correct:
  no
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  100
  position:
  RB
  had to beat:
  RB51
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  actual finish:
  RB94
  weeks left when called:
  18
  measured against:
  the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Drake London to outplay his draft cost (round two)
  “Drake London, that's the guy for me in round two, and I would take him in round one if you forced me to.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
  How this was scored
  call:
  sleeper
  cost:
  round two
  naive:
  he repeats last season
  skill:
  -200
  player:
  Drake London
  season:
  2025
  correct:
  no
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  100
  position:
  WR
  had to beat:
  WR6
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  actual finish:
  WR17
  weeks left when called:
  18
  measured against:
  the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Bhayshul Tuten to outplay his draft cost (round twelve)
  “round twelve is Bishal toot And running back for the Jaguars”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
  How this was scored
  call:
  sleeper
  cost:
  round twelve
  naive:
  a player with no record returns what an unknown at his position is worth
  skill:
  -200
  player:
  Bhayshul Tuten
  season:
  2025
  correct:
  no
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  100
  position:
  RB
  had to beat:
  RB24
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  actual finish:
  RB48
  weeks left when called:
  18
  measured against:
  the source named no cost, and he has no prior season — measured against the startable tier
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Omarion Hampton to outplay his draft cost (round three)
  “So I went with Omaron Hampton running back for the Los Angeles Chargers because I just want to make a bet on a first round rookie running back”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
  How this was scored
  call:
  sleeper
  cost:
  round three
  naive:
  a player with no record returns what an unknown at his position is worth
  skill:
  -200
  player:
  Omarion Hampton
  season:
  2025
  correct:
  no
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  100
  position:
  RB
  had to beat:
  RB24
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  actual finish:
  RB39
  weeks left when called:
  18
  measured against:
  the source named no cost, and he has no prior season — measured against the startable tier
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Drake Maye to outplay his draft cost (round ten)
  “i want Drake May. That's who I want as my quarterback in round ten... the best late run quarterback you can draft”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
  How this was scored
  call:
  sleeper
  cost:
  round ten
  naive:
  he repeats last season
  skill:
  200
  player:
  Drake Maye
  season:
  2025
  correct:
  yes
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  position:
  QB
  had to beat:
  QB22
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  actual finish:
  QB2
  weeks left when called:
  18
  measured against:
  the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Jaylen Waddle to outplay his draft cost (round six)
  “It's Jalen Wattle round six... I think that his costs and values is going to increase as the season goes on.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
  How this was scored
  call:
  sleeper
  cost:
  round six
  naive:
  he repeats last season
  skill:
  200
  player:
  Jaylen Waddle
  season:
  2025
  correct:
  yes
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  position:
  WR
  had to beat:
  WR48
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  actual finish:
  WR19
  weeks left when called:
  18
  measured against:
  the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Tucker Kraft to outplay his draft cost (round nine)
  “My favorite late round time end, Tucker Craft. I think that he could be a top five Titan when we're drafting next year.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
  How this was scored
  call:
  sleeper
  cost:
  round nine
  naive:
  he repeats last season
  skill:
  -200
  player:
  Tucker Kraft
  season:
  2025
  correct:
  no
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  100
  position:
  TE
  had to beat:
  TE7
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  actual finish:
  TE17
  weeks left when called:
  18
  measured against:
  the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt to outplay his draft cost (RB forty one in real time ADP)
  “Bill krossky Merritt running back for the Washington Commanders... I think that round eight is probably the most aggressive I would push him up”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
  How this was scored
  call:
  sleeper
  cost:
  RB forty one in real time ADP
  naive:
  a player with no record returns what an unknown at his position is worth
  skill:
  -200
  player:
  Jacory Croskey-Merritt
  season:
  2025
  correct:
  no
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  100
  position:
  RB
  had to beat:
  RB24
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  actual finish:
  RB28
  weeks left when called:
  18
  measured against:
  the source named no cost, and he has no prior season — measured against the startable tier
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Nico Collins to outplay his draft cost (pick want six through twelve)
  “I went for a player that goes outside the top five that out with a pick want six through twelve. You can get this guy... Nico Collins wide receiver.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
  How this was scored
  call:
  sleeper
  cost:
  pick want six through twelve
  naive:
  he repeats last season
  skill:
  200
  player:
  Nico Collins
  season:
  2025
  correct:
  yes
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  position:
  WR
  had to beat:
  WR20
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  actual finish:
  WR9
  weeks left when called:
  18
  measured against:
  the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Kenneth Walker III to outplay his draft cost (round four)
  “it's Kenneth Walker as my pick in round four. I just think the upside case for him in this Clint Kuback offense is a top five fantasy running back”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
  How this was scored
  call:
  sleeper
  cost:
  round four
  naive:
  he repeats last season
  skill:
  200
  player:
  Kenneth Walker III
  season:
  2025
  correct:
  yes
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  position:
  RB
  had to beat:
  RB29
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  actual finish:
  RB21
  weeks left when called:
  18
  measured against:
  the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Jordan Mason to outplay his draft cost (round eight)
  “Jordan Mason running back for the Minnesota Vikings... George Mason's going to have some big weeks behind this Vikings offensive line.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
  How this was scored
  call:
  sleeper
  cost:
  round eight
  naive:
  he repeats last season
  skill:
  200
  player:
  Jordan Mason
  season:
  2025
  correct:
  yes
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  position:
  RB
  had to beat:
  RB33
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  actual finish:
  RB33
  weeks left when called:
  18
  measured against:
  the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Ricky Pearsall to be 1st on the depth chart
  “I think he's going to be the number one wide receiver on this team, at least out of the gates.”
  Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 100-33.33 skill
  How this was scored
  club:
  SF
  skill:
  -33.33
  player:
  Ricky Pearsall
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  83.33
  baseline:
  100
  position:
  WR
  naive slot:
  3
  actual slot:
  3
  difficulty:
  2
  measured by:
  receptions
  the naive guess:
  where he sat last season
  weeks in the season:
  18
  predicted slot:
  1
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Kenneth Walker III to finish top 5 at his position, by fantasy points
  “if he stays healthy, he's going to be a top off fantasy running back. I'm very convinced of that.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 33.33-66.67 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  -66.67
  player:
  Kenneth Walker III
  season:
  2025
  zero at:
  12
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  33.33
  position:
  RB
  ranked by:
  fantasy points
  difficulty:
  2
  the naive guess:
  where he finished last season
  weeks in the season:
  18
  naive finish:
  29
  actual finish:
  21
  weeks left when called:
  18
  predicted finish:
  5
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Drake London to finish top 5 at his position, by fantasy points
  “everything else is wheels off for Drake London to be a top five wide receiver”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 8.33-16.67 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  -16.67
  player:
  Drake London
  season:
  2025
  zero at:
  12
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  8.33
  position:
  WR
  ranked by:
  fantasy points
  difficulty:
  2
  the naive guess:
  where he finished last season
  weeks in the season:
  18
  naive finish:
  6
  actual finish:
  17
  weeks left when called:
  18
  predicted finish:
  5
  Think this grade is wrong?
- New England Patriots to beat Raiders
  “Week one, Week two Raiders Dolphins, two matchups that I feel confident that he can win in”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  LV
  score:
  20-13
  skill:
  0
  they picked:
  NE
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  the naive pick:
  NE
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Omarion Hampton to be 1st on the depth chart
  “the more optimistic I am about Omaron Hampton is going to be the guy here... continue to use this guy as our bell cow”
  Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 100-16.67 skill
  How this was scored
  club:
  LAC
  skill:
  -16.67
  player:
  Omarion Hampton
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  91.67
  baseline:
  100
  position:
  RB
  naive slot:
  2
  actual slot:
  2
  difficulty:
  2
  measured by:
  rushing yards
  the naive guess:
  no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
  weeks in the season:
  18
  predicted slot:
  1
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Zach Charbonnet to be 2nd on the depth chart
  “I still think that he is going to be just the backup to Ken Walker”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored
  club:
  SEA
  skill:
  0
  player:
  Zach Charbonnet
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  100
  position:
  RB
  naive slot:
  2
  actual slot:
  2
  difficulty:
  2
  measured by:
  rushing yards
  the naive guess:
  where he sat last season
  weeks in the season:
  18
  predicted slot:
  2
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Kenneth Walker III to be 1st on the depth chart
  “once he's writing and out there playing, I think that he's going to be their bell cow”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored
  club:
  SEA
  skill:
  0
  player:
  Kenneth Walker III
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  100
  position:
  RB
  naive slot:
  1
  actual slot:
  1
  difficulty:
  2
  measured by:
  rushing yards
  the naive guess:
  where he sat last season
  weeks in the season:
  18
  predicted slot:
  1
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Nico Collins to record 1,500 receiving yards
  “lock and load with an alpha stud wide receiver who's gonna put up fifteen hundred yards this season if he stays healthy”
  Close · 49Scored 48.93a naive guess scored 21.37+55.12 skill
  How this was scored
  naive:
  677.87
  skill:
  55.12
  what happened:
  1117
  player:
  Nico Collins
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  48.93
  baseline:
  21.37
  predicted:
  1500
  statistic:
  receiving_yards
  difficulty:
  2
  last season:
  1006
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  position average:
  349.73
  zero at percent out:
  50
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Marvin Mims Jr. to outplay his draft cost (round fourteen)
  “Round fourteen Marvin Mims wide receiver for the Denver Broncos with a full time role... Martin Mims is about to take over the world”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
  How this was scored
  call:
  sleeper
  cost:
  round fourteen
  naive:
  he repeats last season
  skill:
  -200
  player:
  Marvin Mims Jr.
  season:
  2025
  correct:
  no
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  100
  position:
  WR
  had to beat:
  WR52
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  actual finish:
  WR70
  weeks left when called:
  18
  measured against:
  the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Josh Palmer to outplay his draft cost (round fifteen)
  “round fifteen my bet on a fifth year wide receiver breakout... Josh Palmer wide receiver for the Buffalo Bills”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
  How this was scored
  call:
  sleeper
  cost:
  round fifteen
  naive:
  he repeats last season
  skill:
  -200
  player:
  Josh Palmer
  season:
  2025
  correct:
  no
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  100
  position:
  WR
  had to beat:
  WR76
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  actual finish:
  WR114
  weeks left when called:
  18
  measured against:
  the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
  Think this grade is wrong?
- New England Patriots to beat Dolphins
  “Week one, Week two Raiders Dolphins, two matchups that I feel confident that he can win in”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  NE
  score:
  33-27
  skill:
  200
  they picked:
  NE
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  the naive pick:
  MIA
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Ricky Pearsall to outplay his draft cost (round seven)
  “why I like buying into Pearsaw here in round seven... I think Rickey Piersaw is just one of the easiest clicks that you can make”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
  How this was scored
  call:
  sleeper
  cost:
  round seven
  naive:
  he repeats last season
  skill:
  200
  player:
  Ricky Pearsall
  season:
  2025
  correct:
  yes
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  position:
  WR
  had to beat:
  WR81
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  actual finish:
  WR78
  weeks left when called:
  18
  measured against:
  the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
  Think this grade is wrong?
Erickson predicted Drake London finishes as the overall fantasy WR1, Drake Maye as a top-five fantasy quarterback, Tucker Kraft as a top-four fantasy tight end, Jordan Mason leading the NFL in rushing touchdowns (at worst double digits), and Elijah Moore finishing as a fantasy WR1 for the Bills.6 graded calls · Aug 2, 2025
- Jordan Mason to record 10 rushing tds
  “So I think Jordan Mason, at worst, I think he's still gonna be able to get in that double digit touchdown territory”
  Miss · 20Scored 20a naive guess scored 27.24-14.47 skill
  How this was scored
  naive:
  3.82
  skill:
  -14.47
  what happened:
  6
  player:
  Jordan Mason
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  20
  baseline:
  27.24
  predicted:
  10
  statistic:
  rushing_tds
  difficulty:
  2
  last season:
  3
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  position average:
  4.63
  zero at percent out:
  50
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Drake London to finish top 1 at his position, by fantasy points
  “So I'm going with Drake London finishes as the wide receiver one overall, that is my mile take.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 8.33-16.67 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  -16.67
  player:
  Drake London
  season:
  2025
  zero at:
  12
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  8.33
  position:
  WR
  ranked by:
  fantasy points
  difficulty:
  2
  the naive guess:
  where he finished last season
  weeks in the season:
  18
  naive finish:
  6
  actual finish:
  17
  weeks left when called:
  18
  predicted finish:
  1
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Drake Maye to finish top 5 at his position, by fantasy points
  “Drake May is going to finish as a top five Fantasy quarterack in twenty twenty five.”
  Close · 75Scored 75a naive guess scored 0+150 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  150
  player:
  Drake Maye
  season:
  2025
  zero at:
  12
  accuracy:
  75
  baseline:
  0
  position:
  QB
  ranked by:
  fantasy points
  difficulty:
  2
  the naive guess:
  where he finished last season
  weeks in the season:
  18
  naive finish:
  22
  actual finish:
  2
  weeks left when called:
  18
  predicted finish:
  5
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Jordan Mason to finish top 1 at his position, by rushing tds
  “Jordan Mason, new running back for the Minnesota skull Vikings. I think he's gonna lead the NFL in Russian touchdowns this year.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  0
  player:
  Jordan Mason
  season:
  2025
  zero at:
  12
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  position:
  RB
  ranked by:
  rushing tds
  difficulty:
  2
  the naive guess:
  where he finished last season
  weeks in the season:
  18
  naive finish:
  44
  actual finish:
  26
  weeks left when called:
  18
  predicted finish:
  1
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Elijah Moore to finish top 12 at his position, by fantasy points
  “It's gonna be Elijah Moore. Elijah Moore is going to finish twenty twenty five as a Fantasy wide receiver one.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  0
  player:
  Elijah Moore
  season:
  2025
  zero at:
  12
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  position:
  WR
  ranked by:
  fantasy points
  difficulty:
  2
  the naive guess:
  where he finished last season
  weeks in the season:
  18
  naive finish:
  84
  actual finish:
  134
  weeks left when called:
  18
  predicted finish:
  12
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Tucker Kraft to finish top 4 at his position, by fantasy points
  “Tucker Craft's going to finish as a top four Fantasy tight end in twenty twenty five”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 16.67-33.33 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  -33.33
  player:
  Tucker Kraft
  season:
  2025
  zero at:
  12
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  16.67
  position:
  TE
  ranked by:
  fantasy points
  difficulty:
  2
  the naive guess:
  where he finished last season
  weeks in the season:
  18
  naive finish:
  7
  actual finish:
  17
  weeks left when called:
  18
  predicted finish:
  4
  Think this grade is wrong?
Erickson is targeting Chase Brown, Javonte Williams, Trey Benson, Ray Davis, MarShawn Lloyd, Will Shipley, Braelon Allen and Rishard Smith while fading Tyrone Tracy, Tank Bigsby and Kyren Williams, and he expects James Cook's touchdown total to settle in the eight-to-ten range.3 graded calls · May 31, 2025
- Javonte Williams to outplay his draft cost (RB thirty seven)
  “if we're trying to figure out who could be this year's JK. Dobbins, I think Javonte Williams checks off a lot of boxes... consider me in at RB thirty seven”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
  How this was scored
  call:
  sleeper
  cost:
  RB thirty seven
  naive:
  he repeats last season
  skill:
  200
  player:
  Javonte Williams
  season:
  2025
  correct:
  yes
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  position:
  RB
  had to beat:
  RB32
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  actual finish:
  RB11
  weeks left when called:
  18
  measured against:
  the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Braelon Allen to outplay his draft cost (outside the top fifty)
  “So I think Braylen Allen's kind of interesting and just another guy I mentioned”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
  How this was scored
  call:
  sleeper
  cost:
  outside the top fifty
  naive:
  he repeats last season
  skill:
  -200
  player:
  Braelon Allen
  season:
  2025
  correct:
  no
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  100
  position:
  RB
  had to beat:
  RB51
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  actual finish:
  RB94
  weeks left when called:
  18
  measured against:
  the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Brashard Smith to outplay his draft cost (fifth round)
  “My Lock. In every single fifth round, Richard Smith is my RB fifty”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
  How this was scored
  call:
  sleeper
  cost:
  fifth round
  naive:
  the draft market was right and he returned about what he cost
  skill:
  -200
  player:
  Brashard Smith
  season:
  2025
  correct:
  no
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  100
  position:
  RB
  cost round:
  5
  had to beat:
  RB20
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  actual finish:
  RB70
  weeks left when called:
  18
  measured against:
  the cost the source quoted — fifth round
  Think this grade is wrong?

Andrew Erickson

Graded calls · 119

3 of 18 graded articles on this page, newest first — page 3 of 4.

Erickson's must-have targets round by round: Nico Collins in round one (1,500 receiving yards if healthy), Drake London as a top-five WR in round two, Omarion Hampton as the Chargers' bell cow in round three, Kenneth Walker as a top-five fantasy back in round four, plus Tetairoa McMillan, Jaylen Waddle, Ricky Pearsall, Jordan Mason, Tucker Kraft, Drake Maye and a set of late-round fliers.24 graded calls · Aug 23, 2025

Tetairoa McMillan to outplay his draft cost (round five)
“That's Roald McMillan, wide receiver for the Carolina Panthers. I just think that he's being drafted closer to his floor than his ceiling, which I mean he could be a fantasy wide receiver one this year.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
call:
sleeper
cost:
round five
naive:
a player with no record returns what an unknown at his position is worth
skill:
200
player:
Tetairoa McMillan
season:
2025
correct:
yes
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
position:
WR
had to beat:
WR36
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
WR13
weeks left when called:
18
measured against:
the source named no cost, and he has no prior season — measured against the startable tier
Think this grade is wrong?
Braelon Allen to outplay his draft cost (round thirteen)
“Round thirteen is Bringlan Allen running back for the New York Jets”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
call:
sleeper
cost:
round thirteen
naive:
he repeats last season
skill:
-200
player:
Braelon Allen
season:
2025
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
position:
RB
had to beat:
RB51
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
RB94
weeks left when called:
18
measured against:
the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
Think this grade is wrong?
Drake London to outplay his draft cost (round two)
“Drake London, that's the guy for me in round two, and I would take him in round one if you forced me to.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
call:
sleeper
cost:
round two
naive:
he repeats last season
skill:
-200
player:
Drake London
season:
2025
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
position:
WR
had to beat:
WR6
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
WR17
weeks left when called:
18
measured against:
the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
Think this grade is wrong?
Bhayshul Tuten to outplay his draft cost (round twelve)
“round twelve is Bishal toot And running back for the Jaguars”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
call:
sleeper
cost:
round twelve
naive:
a player with no record returns what an unknown at his position is worth
skill:
-200
player:
Bhayshul Tuten
season:
2025
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
position:
RB
had to beat:
RB24
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
RB48
weeks left when called:
18
measured against:
the source named no cost, and he has no prior season — measured against the startable tier
Think this grade is wrong?
Omarion Hampton to outplay his draft cost (round three)
“So I went with Omaron Hampton running back for the Los Angeles Chargers because I just want to make a bet on a first round rookie running back”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
call:
sleeper
cost:
round three
naive:
a player with no record returns what an unknown at his position is worth
skill:
-200
player:
Omarion Hampton
season:
2025
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
position:
RB
had to beat:
RB24
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
RB39
weeks left when called:
18
measured against:
the source named no cost, and he has no prior season — measured against the startable tier
Think this grade is wrong?
Drake Maye to outplay his draft cost (round ten)
“i want Drake May. That's who I want as my quarterback in round ten... the best late run quarterback you can draft”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
call:
sleeper
cost:
round ten
naive:
he repeats last season
skill:
200
player:
Drake Maye
season:
2025
correct:
yes
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
position:
QB
had to beat:
QB22
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
QB2
weeks left when called:
18
measured against:
the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
Think this grade is wrong?
Jaylen Waddle to outplay his draft cost (round six)
“It's Jalen Wattle round six... I think that his costs and values is going to increase as the season goes on.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
call:
sleeper
cost:
round six
naive:
he repeats last season
skill:
200
player:
Jaylen Waddle
season:
2025
correct:
yes
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
position:
WR
had to beat:
WR48
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
WR19
weeks left when called:
18
measured against:
the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
Think this grade is wrong?
Tucker Kraft to outplay his draft cost (round nine)
“My favorite late round time end, Tucker Craft. I think that he could be a top five Titan when we're drafting next year.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
call:
sleeper
cost:
round nine
naive:
he repeats last season
skill:
-200
player:
Tucker Kraft
season:
2025
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
position:
TE
had to beat:
TE7
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
TE17
weeks left when called:
18
measured against:
the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
Think this grade is wrong?
Jacory Croskey-Merritt to outplay his draft cost (RB forty one in real time ADP)
“Bill krossky Merritt running back for the Washington Commanders... I think that round eight is probably the most aggressive I would push him up”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
call:
sleeper
cost:
RB forty one in real time ADP
naive:
a player with no record returns what an unknown at his position is worth
skill:
-200
player:
Jacory Croskey-Merritt
season:
2025
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
position:
RB
had to beat:
RB24
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
RB28
weeks left when called:
18
measured against:
the source named no cost, and he has no prior season — measured against the startable tier
Think this grade is wrong?
Nico Collins to outplay his draft cost (pick want six through twelve)
“I went for a player that goes outside the top five that out with a pick want six through twelve. You can get this guy... Nico Collins wide receiver.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
call:
sleeper
cost:
pick want six through twelve
naive:
he repeats last season
skill:
200
player:
Nico Collins
season:
2025
correct:
yes
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
position:
WR
had to beat:
WR20
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
WR9
weeks left when called:
18
measured against:
the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
Think this grade is wrong?
Kenneth Walker III to outplay his draft cost (round four)
“it's Kenneth Walker as my pick in round four. I just think the upside case for him in this Clint Kuback offense is a top five fantasy running back”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
call:
sleeper
cost:
round four
naive:
he repeats last season
skill:
200
player:
Kenneth Walker III
season:
2025
correct:
yes
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
position:
RB
had to beat:
RB29
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
RB21
weeks left when called:
18
measured against:
the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
Think this grade is wrong?
Jordan Mason to outplay his draft cost (round eight)
“Jordan Mason running back for the Minnesota Vikings... George Mason's going to have some big weeks behind this Vikings offensive line.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
call:
sleeper
cost:
round eight
naive:
he repeats last season
skill:
200
player:
Jordan Mason
season:
2025
correct:
yes
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
position:
RB
had to beat:
RB33
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
RB33
weeks left when called:
18
measured against:
the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
Think this grade is wrong?
Ricky Pearsall to be 1st on the depth chart
“I think he's going to be the number one wide receiver on this team, at least out of the gates.”
Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 100-33.33 skill
How this was scored
club:
SF
skill:
-33.33
player:
Ricky Pearsall
season:
2025
accuracy:
83.33
baseline:
100
position:
WR
naive slot:
3
actual slot:
3
difficulty:
2
measured by:
receptions
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Kenneth Walker III to finish top 5 at his position, by fantasy points
“if he stays healthy, he's going to be a top off fantasy running back. I'm very convinced of that.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 33.33-66.67 skill
How this was scored
skill:
-66.67
player:
Kenneth Walker III
season:
2025
zero at:
12
accuracy:
0
baseline:
33.33
position:
RB
ranked by:
fantasy points
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
where he finished last season
weeks in the season:
18
naive finish:
29
actual finish:
21
weeks left when called:
18
predicted finish:
5
Think this grade is wrong?
Drake London to finish top 5 at his position, by fantasy points
“everything else is wheels off for Drake London to be a top five wide receiver”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 8.33-16.67 skill
How this was scored
skill:
-16.67
player:
Drake London
season:
2025
zero at:
12
accuracy:
0
baseline:
8.33
position:
WR
ranked by:
fantasy points
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
where he finished last season
weeks in the season:
18
naive finish:
6
actual finish:
17
weeks left when called:
18
predicted finish:
5
Think this grade is wrong?
New England Patriots to beat Raiders
“Week one, Week two Raiders Dolphins, two matchups that I feel confident that he can win in”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
LV
score:
20-13
skill:
0
they picked:
NE
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
NE
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Omarion Hampton to be 1st on the depth chart
“the more optimistic I am about Omaron Hampton is going to be the guy here... continue to use this guy as our bell cow”
Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 100-16.67 skill
How this was scored
club:
LAC
skill:
-16.67
player:
Omarion Hampton
season:
2025
accuracy:
91.67
baseline:
100
position:
RB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
2
difficulty:
2
measured by:
rushing yards
the naive guess:
no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Zach Charbonnet to be 2nd on the depth chart
“I still think that he is going to be just the backup to Ken Walker”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
club:
SEA
skill:
0
player:
Zach Charbonnet
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
position:
RB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
2
difficulty:
2
measured by:
rushing yards
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
2
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Kenneth Walker III to be 1st on the depth chart
“once he's writing and out there playing, I think that he's going to be their bell cow”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
club:
SEA
skill:
0
player:
Kenneth Walker III
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
position:
RB
naive slot:
1
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
2
measured by:
rushing yards
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Nico Collins to record 1,500 receiving yards
“lock and load with an alpha stud wide receiver who's gonna put up fifteen hundred yards this season if he stays healthy”
Close · 49Scored 48.93a naive guess scored 21.37+55.12 skill
How this was scored
naive:
677.87
skill:
55.12
what happened:
1117
player:
Nico Collins
season:
2025
accuracy:
48.93
baseline:
21.37
predicted:
1500
statistic:
receiving_yards
difficulty:
2
last season:
1006
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
position average:
349.73
zero at percent out:
50
Think this grade is wrong?
Marvin Mims Jr. to outplay his draft cost (round fourteen)
“Round fourteen Marvin Mims wide receiver for the Denver Broncos with a full time role... Martin Mims is about to take over the world”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
call:
sleeper
cost:
round fourteen
naive:
he repeats last season
skill:
-200
player:
Marvin Mims Jr.
season:
2025
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
position:
WR
had to beat:
WR52
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
WR70
weeks left when called:
18
measured against:
the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
Think this grade is wrong?
Josh Palmer to outplay his draft cost (round fifteen)
“round fifteen my bet on a fifth year wide receiver breakout... Josh Palmer wide receiver for the Buffalo Bills”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
call:
sleeper
cost:
round fifteen
naive:
he repeats last season
skill:
-200
player:
Josh Palmer
season:
2025
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
position:
WR
had to beat:
WR76
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
WR114
weeks left when called:
18
measured against:
the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
Think this grade is wrong?
New England Patriots to beat Dolphins
“Week one, Week two Raiders Dolphins, two matchups that I feel confident that he can win in”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
won:
NE
score:
33-27
skill:
200
they picked:
NE
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
MIA
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Ricky Pearsall to outplay his draft cost (round seven)
“why I like buying into Pearsaw here in round seven... I think Rickey Piersaw is just one of the easiest clicks that you can make”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
call:
sleeper
cost:
round seven
naive:
he repeats last season
skill:
200
player:
Ricky Pearsall
season:
2025
correct:
yes
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
position:
WR
had to beat:
WR81
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
WR78
weeks left when called:
18
measured against:
the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
Think this grade is wrong?

Erickson predicted Drake London finishes as the overall fantasy WR1, Drake Maye as a top-five fantasy quarterback, Tucker Kraft as a top-four fantasy tight end, Jordan Mason leading the NFL in rushing touchdowns (at worst double digits), and Elijah Moore finishing as a fantasy WR1 for the Bills.6 graded calls · Aug 2, 2025

Jordan Mason to record 10 rushing tds
“So I think Jordan Mason, at worst, I think he's still gonna be able to get in that double digit touchdown territory”
Miss · 20Scored 20a naive guess scored 27.24-14.47 skill
How this was scored
naive:
3.82
skill:
-14.47
what happened:
6
player:
Jordan Mason
season:
2025
accuracy:
20
baseline:
27.24
predicted:
10
statistic:
rushing_tds
difficulty:
2
last season:
3
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
position average:
4.63
zero at percent out:
50
Think this grade is wrong?
Drake London to finish top 1 at his position, by fantasy points
“So I'm going with Drake London finishes as the wide receiver one overall, that is my mile take.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 8.33-16.67 skill
How this was scored
skill:
-16.67
player:
Drake London
season:
2025
zero at:
12
accuracy:
0
baseline:
8.33
position:
WR
ranked by:
fantasy points
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
where he finished last season
weeks in the season:
18
naive finish:
6
actual finish:
17
weeks left when called:
18
predicted finish:
1
Think this grade is wrong?
Drake Maye to finish top 5 at his position, by fantasy points
“Drake May is going to finish as a top five Fantasy quarterack in twenty twenty five.”
Close · 75Scored 75a naive guess scored 0+150 skill
How this was scored
skill:
150
player:
Drake Maye
season:
2025
zero at:
12
accuracy:
75
baseline:
0
position:
QB
ranked by:
fantasy points
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
where he finished last season
weeks in the season:
18
naive finish:
22
actual finish:
2
weeks left when called:
18
predicted finish:
5
Think this grade is wrong?
Jordan Mason to finish top 1 at his position, by rushing tds
“Jordan Mason, new running back for the Minnesota skull Vikings. I think he's gonna lead the NFL in Russian touchdowns this year.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
player:
Jordan Mason
season:
2025
zero at:
12
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
position:
RB
ranked by:
rushing tds
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
where he finished last season
weeks in the season:
18
naive finish:
44
actual finish:
26
weeks left when called:
18
predicted finish:
1
Think this grade is wrong?
Elijah Moore to finish top 12 at his position, by fantasy points
“It's gonna be Elijah Moore. Elijah Moore is going to finish twenty twenty five as a Fantasy wide receiver one.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
player:
Elijah Moore
season:
2025
zero at:
12
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
position:
WR
ranked by:
fantasy points
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
where he finished last season
weeks in the season:
18
naive finish:
84
actual finish:
134
weeks left when called:
18
predicted finish:
12
Think this grade is wrong?
Tucker Kraft to finish top 4 at his position, by fantasy points
“Tucker Craft's going to finish as a top four Fantasy tight end in twenty twenty five”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 16.67-33.33 skill
How this was scored
skill:
-33.33
player:
Tucker Kraft
season:
2025
zero at:
12
accuracy:
0
baseline:
16.67
position:
TE
ranked by:
fantasy points
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
where he finished last season
weeks in the season:
18
naive finish:
7
actual finish:
17
weeks left when called:
18
predicted finish:
4
Think this grade is wrong?

Erickson is targeting Chase Brown, Javonte Williams, Trey Benson, Ray Davis, MarShawn Lloyd, Will Shipley, Braelon Allen and Rishard Smith while fading Tyrone Tracy, Tank Bigsby and Kyren Williams, and he expects James Cook's touchdown total to settle in the eight-to-ten range.3 graded calls · May 31, 2025

Javonte Williams to outplay his draft cost (RB thirty seven)
“if we're trying to figure out who could be this year's JK. Dobbins, I think Javonte Williams checks off a lot of boxes... consider me in at RB thirty seven”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
call:
sleeper
cost:
RB thirty seven
naive:
he repeats last season
skill:
200
player:
Javonte Williams
season:
2025
correct:
yes
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
position:
RB
had to beat:
RB32
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
RB11
weeks left when called:
18
measured against:
the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
Think this grade is wrong?
Braelon Allen to outplay his draft cost (outside the top fifty)
“So I think Braylen Allen's kind of interesting and just another guy I mentioned”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
call:
sleeper
cost:
outside the top fifty
naive:
he repeats last season
skill:
-200
player:
Braelon Allen
season:
2025
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
position:
RB
had to beat:
RB51
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
RB94
weeks left when called:
18
measured against:
the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
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Brashard Smith to outplay his draft cost (fifth round)
“My Lock. In every single fifth round, Richard Smith is my RB fifty”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
call:
sleeper
cost:
fifth round
naive:
the draft market was right and he returned about what he cost
skill:
-200
player:
Brashard Smith
season:
2025
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
position:
RB
cost round:
5
had to beat:
RB20
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
RB70
weeks left when called:
18
measured against:
the cost the source quoted — fifth round
Think this grade is wrong?