Andy Furman Mock Draft Accuracy: Every Pick, Graded

MissedTakes

Furman agreed Fernando Mendoza goes No. 1 to the Raiders and the Jets take Arvell Reese at No. 2, but split from Brooks by preferring Spencer Fano over Francis Mauigoa, taking Carnell Tate at No. 4 to Tennessee, Jordyn Tyson at No. 5 to the Giants, and Rueben Bain to the Bengals at No. 10. He also expects Shedeur Sanders to be Cleveland's starting quarterback.7 graded calls · Feb 8, 2026

Rueben Bain to be picked at number 10
“But I think that Ruby band maybe the guy, the edge Rusher out of Miami.”
Hit · 81Scored 80.52 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 95 against a shuffle’s 50+45 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
45
player:
Rueben Bain
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
80.52
baseline:
50
actual pick:
15
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
80.52
predicted pick:
10
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
95
Think this grade is wrong?
Carnell Tate to be picked at number 4
“So I have Cornell Tate going from Ohio State at number four the Tennessee.”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 95 against a shuffle’s 50+45 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
45
player:
Carnell Tate
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
4
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
4
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
95
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
“I gotta believe Mendoz is going to be the number one pick, which they need a quarterback.”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 95 against a shuffle’s 50+45 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
45
player:
Fernando Mendoza
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
1
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
1
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
95
Spencer Fano to be drafted ahead of Francis Mauigoa
“I think the guy who head and shoulders over Francis over there Magua of Miami is the two time All American final from Utah, So I think that guy would get head and shoulders over your pick.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50+50 skill
How this was scored
claim:
Spencer Fano drafted ahead of Francis Mauigoa
draft:
2026
skill:
50
what happened:
Spencer Fano went 9, Francis Mauigoa went 10
player:
Spencer Fano
season:
2025
correct:
yes
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
compared to:
Francis Mauigoa
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?
Shedeur Sanders to be 1st on the depth chart
“this guy probably will end up as a starting quarterback for the Cleveland Browns next year”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+8.33 skill
How this was scored
club:
CLE
skill:
8.33
player:
Shedeur Sanders
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
91.67
position:
QB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
1
measured by:
passing yards
the naive guess:
no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
0
Arvell Reese to be picked at number 2
“I think the Jets got that pick, and I think they need an edge rusher to get the kid Reefs out of Ohio state.”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 95 against a shuffle’s 50+45 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
45
player:
Arvell Reese
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
87.81
baseline:
50
actual pick:
5
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
87.81
predicted pick:
2
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
95
Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 5
“I'm gonna go with the receiver and the number five pick with the Giants. Take Jordan Tyson from Arizona State for the Giants.”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 95 against a shuffle’s 50+45 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
45
player:
Jordyn Tyson
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
87.81
baseline:
50
actual pick:
8
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
87.81
predicted pick:
5
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:

Graded calls · 10