Andy FurmanFeb 8, 2026
Furman agreed Fernando Mendoza goes No. 1 to the Raiders and the Jets take Arvell Reese at No. 2, but split from Brooks by preferring Spencer Fano over Francis Mauigoa, taking Carnell Tate at No. 4 to Tennessee, Jordyn Tyson at No. 5 to the Giants, and Rueben Bain to the Bengals at No. 10. They also expect Shedeur Sanders to be Cleveland's starting quarterback.
Said on air or in an interview · Fox Sports Radio (podcast)Hear the original
What Andy Furman said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromI gotta believe Mendoz is going to be the number one pick.
- Where it was said
- Fox Sports Radio (podcast)
- The episode
- Andy Furman and Bucky Brooks preview Super Bowl LX, whether or not Shedeur Sanders is a franchise QB, and go over Bucky's NFL Mock Draft 1.0
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidFeb 8
- GradedAug 13–Oct 1
- 1Rueben Bain to be picked at number 10“But I think that Ruby band maybe the guy, the edge Rusher out of Miami.”
- 2Carnell Tate to be picked at number 4“So I have Cornell Tate going from Ohio State at number four the Tennessee.”
- 3Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 5“I'm gonna go with the receiver and the number five pick with the Giants. Take Jordan Tyson from Arizona State for the Giants.”
- 4Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1“I gotta believe Mendoz is going to be the number one pick, which they need a quarterback.”
- 5Arvell Reese to be picked at number 2“I think the Jets got that pick, and I think they need an edge rusher to get the kid Reefs out of Ohio state.”
- 6Spencer Fano to be drafted ahead of Francis Mauigoa“I think the guy who head and shoulders over Francis over there Magua of Miami is the two time All American final from Utah, So I think that guy would get head and shoulders over your pick.”
- 7Shedeur Sanders to be 1st on the depth chart“this guy probably will end up as a starting quarterback for the Cleveland Browns next year”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rueben Bain to be picked at number 101 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 15 | 80.52 | 50 | +45 | |
| Carnell Tate to be picked at number 42 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 4 | 100 | 50 | +45 | |
| Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 53 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 8 | 87.81 | 50 | +45 | |
| Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 14 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 1 | 100 | 50 | +45 | |
| Arvell Reese to be picked at number 25 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 5 | 87.81 | 50 | +45 | |
| Spencer Fano to be drafted ahead of Francis Mauigoa6 | Prospect vs Prospect Calls | — | 100 | 50 | +50 | |
| Shedeur Sanders to be 1st on the depth chart7 | Depth Chart Calls | No. 1 | 100 | 91.67 | +8.33 | |
| 7 calls · 7 hits · all settled | 93.7 | 56 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naive7 checkable claims — 5 mock draft picks, 1 depth chart call and 1 prospect vs prospect call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 13 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 7 have settled, averaging 93.7 out of 100, against 56 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Their call against what happened
overall pickTheir call against what actually happened.
1Mock Draft PicksRueben BainCincinnati Bengals
Rueben Bain to be picked at number 10
What happenedWent 15mocked at 1080.52Hit · naive 5095this mock’s order−50a shuffled mock=45better than naive×1difficulty=+45skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 45
- player:
- Rueben Bain
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 80.52
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 15
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 80.52
- predicted pick:
- 10
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 95
2Mock Draft PicksCarnell TateTennessee Titans
Carnell Tate to be picked at number 4
What happenedWent 4mocked at 4100Hit · naive 5095this mock’s order−50a shuffled mock=45better than naive×1difficulty=+45skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 45
- player:
- Carnell Tate
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 4
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 4
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 95
3Mock Draft PicksJordyn TysonNew York Giants
Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 5
What happenedWent 8mocked at 587.81Hit · naive 5095this mock’s order−50a shuffled mock=45better than naive×1difficulty=+45skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 45
- player:
- Jordyn Tyson
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 87.81
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 8
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 87.81
- predicted pick:
- 5
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 95
4Mock Draft PicksFernando MendozaLas Vegas Raiders
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
What happenedWent 1mocked at 1100Hit · naive 5095this mock’s order−50a shuffled mock=45better than naive×1difficulty=+45skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 45
- player:
- Fernando Mendoza
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 95
5Mock Draft PicksArvell ReeseNew York Jets
Arvell Reese to be picked at number 2
What happenedWent 5mocked at 287.81Hit · naive 5095this mock’s order−50a shuffled mock=45better than naive×1difficulty=+45skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 45
- player:
- Arvell Reese
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 87.81
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 5
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 87.81
- predicted pick:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 95
6Prospect vs Prospect CallsSpencer Fano
Spencer Fano to be drafted ahead of Francis Mauigoa
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 50100this call−50a naive guess=50better than naive×1difficulty=+50skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- claim:
- Spencer Fano drafted ahead of Francis Mauigoa
- draft:
- 2026
- skill:
- 50
- what happened:
- Spencer Fano went 9, Francis Mauigoa went 10
- player:
- Spencer Fano
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- compared to:
- Francis Mauigoa
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
7Depth Chart CallsShedeur SandersCleveland Browns
Shedeur Sanders to be 1st on the depth chart
What happenedNo. 1called No. 1 · by passing yards100Hit · naive 91.67100this call−91.67a naive guess=8.33better than naive×1difficulty=+8.33skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- CLE
- skill:
- 8.33
- player:
- Shedeur Sanders
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1
- measured by:
- passing yards
- the naive guess:
- no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 7 settled calls, each counted once
93.7naive 56
Who this take is about
Rueben Bain, Cincinnati Bengals, Carnell Tate, Tennessee Titans, Jordyn Tyson, New York Giants, Fernando Mendoza, Las Vegas Raiders, Arvell Reese, New York Jets, Spencer Fano, Shedeur Sanders, Cleveland Browns
Others on the same people
Sam Monson · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins.Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Miss 36
Prisco picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 23-14 on Thursday night and the Lions to beat the Patriots 30-24 in Munich.Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 20-14 on Thursday night and takes the Packers over the Vikings 17-14 in a low-scoring Week 10 game.Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders at home on Thursday night, projecting a 20-14 final score.Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Miss 36
Prisco picked the Giants to beat the Commanders at home in the Thursday night Week 10 game, 23-14, citing New York's dominant front seven containing Jayden Daniels.Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin predicted final scores for seven Week 10 games, taking the Giants over the Commanders, the Lions, Chiefs, Packers, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens to win their respective matchups.
More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Chris Simms · Mock Draft Picks · Malachi Corley · Miss 11
Simms named the Bears the NFL's best overall offense and best rushing offense, the Bengals the best passing offense, Seattle the best total defense, Minnesota the best pass defense and Tampa Bay the best run defense; they also called Tristan Wirfs the league's best offensive lineman, projected Miami's Malachi Toney as a top-15 pick, and predicted a 30-14 Jaguars win in Baltimore.Philip Hughes · Mock Draft Picks · Kyle Kennard · Miss 34
Evaluating edge rusher Kyle Kennard ahead of the draft, the account projected them as a Day 2 selection.Blaine Grisak · Mock Draft Picks · Brian Thomas Jr. · Hit 84
Grisak argues the Rams should not trade a second-round pick for Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr., calling it too great a risk and too high a cost. In an embedded tweet of their own from the 2024 pre-draft period, they suggested the Rams could select Thomas at pick No. 19.Charlie Campbell · Mock Draft Picks · Xavier Williams · Miss 0
Campbell's draft stock report projects Indiana WR Charlie Becker as a top-10 pick in 2027, Mississippi State CB Kelley Jones as a first-rounder, Tennessee DT Xavier Gilliam as a top-15 pick, and Texas OT Trevor Goosby as a top-10 pick, while suggesting Arch Manning could still be a first-rounder if they declare.