Loading…
Loading…
Writes at Slow Boring
Across 3 graded calls in 3 articles, Ben Krauss scores 100% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 108.67, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
How accurate are election pundits overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 3 calls · one square per call
3hits100% of graded
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
No kind has five graded calls yet, so none is rated.
3 graded calls in 3 articles, newest first.
“If Kamala Harris wins the presidency, she will most likely need to contend with a Republican- controlled Senate.”
The same 21, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Ben Krauss isn’t ranked yet: a record is ranked from 10 graded articles, so a lucky first handful can’t top the table.
“After her failed 2022 gubernatorial run, Arizona Senate candidate Kari Lake promised a more conciliatory campaign. However, her attempts at moderation have largely been ineffective, and she's almost guaranteed to lose.”
“But the polls show that he’s going to win those states by a margin that is outside the reach of even the best performing ads.”