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Writes at The Dan Patrick Show (podcast)
Across 7 graded calls in 3 articles, Christian "Spot" Sorge scores 91.67% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 8.72, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
How accurate are NFL experts overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 7 calls · one square per call
6hits86% of graded
1misses14%
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
7 graded calls in 3 articles, newest first. Every take from Christian "Spot" Sorge, including the ones still waiting →
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
The same 87, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Christian "Spot" Sorge isn’t ranked yet: a record is ranked from 10 graded articles, so a lucky first handful can’t top the table.
Seattle Seahawks to beat Rams
“I'm taking not to cry the Seahaw I feel I'm feeling based on what I saw last week the Seahawks are going to dominate.”
Closing line (Jan 25): Seahawks by 2.5 · favorite pick, Seahawks 56%.
New England Patriots 20 — Broncos 17
“I'm thinking it's going to be a close one, So I'm gonna take the Broncos to cover. But the Patriots to win... It's seventeen twenty to seventeen.”
Closing line (Jan 25): Patriots by 3.5, total 43.5 · this 20–17 calls a closer game (Patriots by 3) and fewer points (37). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread.
Seattle Seahawks to beat forty nine ers
“I feel like the Seahawks are going to put a head on this one, all right, Seahawks.”
Closing line (Jan 17): Seahawks by 6.5 · favorite pick, Seahawks 72%.
New England Patriots to beat Texans
“Spotty. What's this spread again? Three?... Yeah, I'm gonna take the pots on this one”
Closing line (Jan 18): Patriots by 3 · favorite pick, Patriots 62%.
Buffalo Bills to beat Broncos
“Oh? I think it's obvious. I think the Bills are going to dominate.”
Closing line (Jan 17): Broncos by 1.5 · a toss-up, Bills 48%, Broncos 52%.
Los Angeles Rams to beat Bears
“Spot what don't don't inc me in that. I'm gonna take the Rams on this one.”
Closing line (Jan 18): Rams by 3.5 · favorite pick, Rams about 2 in 3 (64%).
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Texans
“Never bet against the Chiefs. That's how I live my life ... he's focused, he's in the game, he's ready to go for this week cheaps win.”
Closing line (Jan 18): Chiefs by 9.5 · favorite pick, Chiefs about 4 in 5 (81%).