Christian "Spot" SorgeJan 24, 2026

Spotty picked the Patriots to win a close one 20-17 over Denver and said the Seahawks would dominate the Rams; they also went with the Falcons for the most wins next season.

Said on air or in an interview · The Dan Patrick Show (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 2calls landed2 hits · 1 too vague to check

100Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls

73.8A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

2 of 3Settlednone still waiting · 1 too vague to check

0Waitingnot graded yet · 1 too vague to check

What Christian "Spot" Sorge said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

I'm feeling based on what I saw last week the Seahawks are going to dominate.

Christian "Spot" Sorge, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was said: The Dan Patrick Show (podcast)
The episode: C&R - Championship Picks, Abba & Brainwave!
The original: Hear the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

SaidJan 23
GradedAug 7–17

1Seattle Seahawks to beat Rams“I'm taking not to cry the Seahaw I feel I'm feeling based on what I saw last week the Seahawks are going to dominate.”
2New England Patriots 20 — Broncos 17“I'm thinking it's going to be a close one, So I'm gonna take the Broncos to cover. But the Patriots to win... It's seventeen twenty to seventeen.”
3Season Win Totals“the streak is broken, Falcons”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting

Call	Kind	What happened	Score	Naive	Skill
Seattle Seahawks to beat Rams¹	Game Outcome Picks	—	100	100	0
New England Patriots 20 — Broncos 17²	Score Predictions	—	100	47.69	+52.31
“the streak is broken, Falcons”³	Season Win Totals	—	—	—	—
3 calls · 2 hits · 1 too vague to check			100	73.8

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

3 claims — 1 game outcome pick, 1 score prediction and 1 season win total — the 2 we can check each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 calls we can check have settled, averaging 100 out of 100, against 73.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The other one was too vague to check, so it is not graded.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

1Game Outcome Picks Seattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks to beat Rams
VerdictHit
100Hit · naive 100
100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1difficulty0skill
Closing line (Jan 25): Seahawks by 2.5 · favorite pick, Seahawks 56%.
How this was scored
won:
SEA
score:
27-31
skill:
0
they picked:
SEA
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
SEA
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this is wrong?
2Score Predictions New England Patriots
New England Patriots 20 — Broncos 17
VerdictHit
100Hit · naive 47.69
100this call47.69a naive guess52.31better than naive1difficulty+52.31skill
Closing line (Jan 25): Patriots by 3.5, total 43.5 · this 20–17 calls a closer game (Patriots by 3) and fewer points (37). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread.
How this was scored
score:
10-7
skill:
52.31
they picked:
NE
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
47.69
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
0
naive home margin:
2.03
predicted margin:
3
Think this is wrong?
3Season Win Totals Atlanta Falcons
“the streak is broken, Falcons”
VerdictToo vague to check
Too vague to check: we could not tell what would count as right, so it stays on the record without a score.
Think this is wrong?
All
The take as a whole
the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once
100naive 73.8