Dan Beyer

Writes at The Dan Patrick Show (podcast)

Every take from Dan Beyer, including the ones still waiting →

Is Dan Beyer accurate? Across 8 graded calls in 5 articles, Dan Beyer scores 62.86% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 12.92, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

62.86%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

12.92

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

8

Graded calls

across 5 articles. 10 more not yet settled.

Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.

90.91% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

Graded calls · 8

For his Week 3 survivor pick, he took the Saints to beat the Raiders at home, saying he doesn't see Las Vegas staying unbeaten.Sep 25, 2026
- New Orleans Saints to beat Raiders
  “I don't see the Raiders as still being unbeaten. So I'm going with the Saints in that game against Las Vegas to be your survivor pick for the week... I am going with the Saints to beat the Raiders coming up in week three.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  LV
  score:
  35-27
  skill:
  0
  they picked:
  NO
  season:
  2026
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  the naive pick:
  NO
  difficulty:
  1.89
  weeks in the season:

18

weeks left when called:

16

Think this grade is wrong?

Beyer picked the Chargers as his Week 2 survivor pick, saying they won't start 0-2 at home against the Raiders, and said the 49ers over the Dolphins and the Eagles over the Titans look like easy picks. He also predicted Marvin Harrison Jr. could be traded.3 graded calls · Sep 18, 2026

Philadelphia Eagles to beat Titans
“the Eagles on the road against the Titans, they seem to be easy picks. And I will have those plays going on at this point.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+194 skill
How this was scored
won:
PHI
score:
24-20
skill:
194
they picked:
PHI
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
TEN
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
17
Think this grade is wrong?
Los Angeles Chargers to beat Raiders
“I don't think the Chargers go 0-2, especially 0-2 at home to start the season with the Cardinals and Raiders... So give me the Chargers this week.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
LV
score:
26-14
skill:
0
they picked:
LAC
season:
2026
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
LAC
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
17
Think this grade is wrong?
San Francisco 49ers to beat Dolphins
“49ers against the Dolphins and the Eagles on the road against the Titans, they seem to be easy picks. And I will have those plays going on at this point.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
SF
score:
13-35
skill:
0
they picked:
SF
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
SF
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
17
Think this grade is wrong?

Beyer's Week 1 survivor pick was the Raiders to beat the Dolphins at home.Sep 11, 2026

Las Vegas Raiders to beat Dolphins
“Give me the Raiders over the Dolphins... pick the Raiders at home against the Dolphins there.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
LV
score:
13-27
skill:
0
they picked:
LV
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
LV
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?

Dan Bayer liked the Broncos to beat the Patriots straight up 19-17 in a low-scoring game, refused to pick the Seahawks-Rams game, and joined the room in picking the Falcons for the most wins next season.Jan 24, 2026

Denver Broncos 19 — Patriots 17
“I like the Broncos in this one to win straight up, though, and I like the lower scoring affair... Nineteen seventeen Broncos beat the Patriots.”
Close · 48Scored 47.62a naive guess scored 47.69-0.07 skill
How this was scored
score:
10-7
skill:
-0.07
they picked:
DEN
season:
2025
accuracy:
47.62
baseline:
47.69
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
0
naive home margin:
2.03
predicted margin:
2
Think this grade is wrong?

Byer made Week 18 survivor picks: the Jaguars over Tennessee, and, as a coin-flip alternative, the Falcons to beat the Saints.2 graded calls · Jan 2, 2026

Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Tennessee
“So I like the Jaguars in this situation for a survivor pick, not only because of the Week eighteen pick that I had weeks ago”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
JAX
score:
7-41
skill:
0
they picked:
JAX
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
JAX
difficulty:
1.06
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
1
Think this grade is wrong?
Atlanta Falcons to beat Saints
“If you didn't have the Jaguars and you're looking for a coin flip game, why not go with the Falcons... give me Atlanta in this”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
ATL
score:
17-19
skill:
0
they picked:
ATL
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
ATL
difficulty:
1.06
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
1
Think this grade is wrong?