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Writes at The Dan Patrick Show (podcast)
Across 6 graded calls in 3 articles, Dan Beyer scores 76.98% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 43.09, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
How accurate are NFL experts overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 21 calls · one square per call
4hits67% of graded
1Close17%
1misses17%
15
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
No kind has five graded calls yet, so none is rated.
6 graded calls in 3 articles, newest first. Every take from Dan Beyer, including the ones still waiting →
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
The same 87, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Dan Beyer isn’t ranked yet: a record is ranked from 10 graded articles, so a lucky first handful can’t top the table.
Marvin Harrison Jr. to move — “could get traded”
“I think he could get traded. I really do... And if you're the Cardinals, you still need assets.”
San Francisco 49ers to beat Dolphins
“49ers against the Dolphins and the Eagles on the road against the Titans, they seem to be easy picks. And I will have those plays going on at this point.”
Closing line (Sep 20): 49ers by 12.5 · favorite pick, 49ers about 6 in 7 (86%).
Los Angeles Chargers to beat Raiders
“I don't think the Chargers go 0-2, especially 0-2 at home to start the season with the Cardinals and Raiders... So give me the Chargers this week.”
Closing line (Sep 20): Chargers by 6.5 · favorite pick, Chargers about 3 in 4 (73%).
Philadelphia Eagles to beat Titans
“the Eagles on the road against the Titans, they seem to be easy picks. And I will have those plays going on at this point.”
Closing line (Sep 20): Eagles by 7 · favorite pick, Eagles about 3 in 4 (73%).
Las Vegas Raiders to beat Dolphins
“Give me the Raiders over the Dolphins... pick the Raiders at home against the Dolphins there.”
Closing line (Sep 13): Raiders by 3 · favorite pick, Raiders 60%.
Denver Broncos 19 — Patriots 17
“I like the Broncos in this one to win straight up, though, and I like the lower scoring affair... Nineteen seventeen Broncos beat the Patriots.”
Closing line (Jan 25): Patriots by 3.5, total 43.5 · this 19–17 calls a Broncos win (by 2; the line gave the Broncos about 1 in 3 (36%)) and fewer points (36).