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Dan BeyerSep 18, 2026

Beyer picked the Chargers as their Week 2 survivor pick, saying they won't start 0-2 at home against the Raiders, and said the 49ers over the Dolphins and the Eagles over the Titans look like easy picks. They also predicted Marvin Harrison Jr. could be traded.

Said on air or in an interview · Fox Sports Radio (podcast)Hear the original

3 of 4calls landed3 hits · 1 miss · all settled
75Average accuracyout of 100, across 4 calls
25A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
3Games calledeveryone’s picks below
0Waitingnot graded yet

What Dan Beyer said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
So give me the Chargers this week.
Dan Beyer, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Fox Sports Radio (podcast)
The episode
I WANT YOUR FLEX - Week 2 Positional Rankings, Hot Plays, and MORE!
The original
Hear the original
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  1. SaidSep 17
  2. PlayedSep 20
  3. GradedSep 21–Oct 11
  1. 1Marvin Harrison Jr. to move — “could get traded”“I think he could get traded. I really do... And if you're the Cardinals, you still need assets.”
  2. 2Philadelphia Eagles to beat Titans“the Eagles on the road against the Titans, they seem to be easy picks. And I will have those plays going on at this point.”
  3. 3Los Angeles Chargers to beat Raiders“I don't think the Chargers go 0-2, especially 0-2 at home to start the season with the Cardinals and Raiders... So give me the Chargers this week.”
  4. 4San Francisco 49ers to beat Dolphins“49ers against the Dolphins and the Eagles on the road against the Titans, they seem to be easy picks. And I will have those plays going on at this point.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Marvin Harrison Jr. to move — “could get traded”1Trade and Signing Calls—1000+194
Philadelphia Eagles to beat Titans2Game Outcome PicksEagles 24–201000+194
Los Angeles Chargers to beat Raiders3Game Outcome PicksRaiders 26–14000
San Francisco 49ers to beat Dolphins4Game Outcome Picks49ers 35–131001000
4 calls · 3 hits · 1 miss · all settled7525

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

4 checkable claims — 3 game outcome picks and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 4 have settled, averaging 75 out of 100, against 25 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Trade and Signing CallsMarvin Harrison Jr.

    Marvin Harrison Jr. to move — “could get traded”

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.94difficulty+194skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    194
    player:
    Marvin Harrison Jr.
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he leaves
    was with:
    ARI
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    reported:
    traded → HOU
    how he left:
    traded
    mechanism:
    traded
    settled by:
    a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
    difficulty:
    1.94
    the naive guess:
    he stays where he is
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    17
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Game Outcome PicksPhiladelphia Eagles

    Philadelphia Eagles to beat Titans

    What happenedEagles 24–20Eagles at Titans
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.94difficulty+194skill

    Closing line (Sep 20): Eagles by 7 · favorite pick, Eagles about 3 in 4 (73%).

    How this was scored
    won:
    PHI
    score:
    24-20
    skill:
    194
    they picked:
    PHI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    TEN
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    17
    Think this is wrong?

  3. 3Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles Chargers

    Los Angeles Chargers to beat Raiders

    What happenedRaiders 26–14Raiders at Chargers
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1.94difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Sep 20): Chargers by 6.5 · favorite pick, Chargers about 3 in 4 (73%).

    How this was scored
    won:
    LV
    score:
    26-14
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    LAC
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    LAC
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    17
    Think this is wrong?

  4. 4Game Outcome PicksSan Francisco 49ers

    San Francisco 49ers to beat Dolphins

    What happened49ers 35–13Dolphins at 49ers
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.94difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Sep 20): 49ers by 12.5 · favorite pick, 49ers about 6 in 7 (86%).

    How this was scored
    won:
    SF
    score:
    13-35
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    SF
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    SF
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    17
    Think this is wrong?
  5. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once

    75naive 25

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