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Dan Beyer· Sep 11, 2026

Beyer's Week 1 survivor pick was the Raiders to beat the Dolphins at home.

“Give me the Raiders over the Dolphins.”

said on air or in an interview · Fox Sports Radio (podcast) · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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1 checkable claim in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Las Vegas Raiders to beat Dolphins

    “Give me the Raiders over the Dolphins... pick the Raiders at home against the Dolphins there.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    LV
    score:
    13-27
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    LV
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    LV
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18

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