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Dan Graziano covers the NFL for Sports Illustrated and NFL Live, writing on game outcomes, player movement, contracts and availability. Predictions touch the Bears, Seahawks, Vikings and Jets, with players named including Aaron Rodgers, Myles Garrett and Jonathan Taylor.
Across 10 graded calls in 10 articles, Dan Graziano scores 50% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 33.3, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a limited sample, under thirty graded articles, so treat it with caution. That ranks #22 of 87 ranked NFL pundits on the MissedTakes leaderboard.
How accurate are NFL experts overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 19 calls · one square per call
5hits50% of graded
5misses50%
9waitingnot graded yet
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
Dan Graziano covers the NFL for Sports Illustrated and NFL Live, writing on game outcomes, player movement, contracts and availability. Predictions touch the Bears, Seahawks, Vikings and Jets, with players named including Aaron Rodgers, Myles Garrett and Jonathan Taylor.
A longer profile is written once a record reaches 30 graded articles, and published only after a person reviews it.
10 graded calls in 10 articles, newest first — page 1 of 2. Every take from Dan Graziano, including the ones still waiting →
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
Minnesota Vikings to beat Bills
“Dan Graziano: Vikings”
The same 87, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Why the ranks differ: a naive guess scores very differently depending on which calls were made, from 15.25% on the hardest record here to 85.71% on the easiest. Accuracy alone flatters easy calls, so by accuracy Dan Graziano would be #67; the Score measures the lift over a naive guess on the same calls, and that puts this record at #22.
| # | Pundit | Score | Accuracy | Graded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Jake Ciely | 34.92 | 73.81% | 41 |
| 21 | Ross Jackson | 34.21 | 66.96% | 248 |
| 22 | Dan Graziano | 33.3 | 50% | 10 |
| 23 | Jordan Dajani | 32.79 | 66.1% | 116 |
| 24 | Rich Hribar | 32.68 | 68.79% | 64 |
Closing line (Nov 9): Bills by 3 · underdog pick, Vikings 38%.
Seattle Seahawks to beat Cardinals
“Dan Graziano: Seahawks”
Closing line (Nov 8): Seahawks by 8.5 · favorite pick, Seahawks about 4 in 5 (79%).
Chicago Bears to beat Seahawks
“Dan Graziano: Bears”
Closing line (Nov 2): Seahawks by 3 · underdog pick, Bears 40%.
Chicago Bears to beat Seattle Seahawks
“Dan Graziano, ESPN : Chicago Bears”
Closing line (Nov 2): Seahawks by 3 · underdog pick, Bears 40%.
New York Jets to beat Dolphins
“Dan Graziano: Jets”
Closing line (Oct 25): Jets by 3.5 · favorite pick, Jets about 2 in 3 (66%).
Tennessee Titans to beat Colts
“Dan Graziano: Titans”
Closing line (Oct 18): Colts by 6.5 · underdog pick, Titans 28%.
Seattle Seahawks to beat Broncos
“Dan Graziano: Seahawks”
Closing line (Oct 15): Seahawks by 2.5 · favorite pick, Seahawks 58%.
Seattle Seahawks to beat 49ers
“Dan Graziano: Seahawks”
Closing line (Oct 11): Seahawks by 3 · favorite pick, Seahawks 60%.