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Writes at RealClearPolitics Podcast
Across 3 graded calls in 1 article, Dane Strother scores 75% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 50.5, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
How accurate are election pundits overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 3 calls · one square per call
2hits67% of graded
1misses33%
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
No kind has five graded calls yet, so none is rated.
3 graded calls in 1 article, newest first.
“I'm not sure why they're here because the Republicans have won the senate race here... So that's it. Senate race is over.”
The same 21, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Dane Strother isn’t ranked yet: a record is ranked from 10 graded articles, so a lucky first handful can’t top the table.
“There's one competitive congressional race here. It's Montana one... And, Flint's gonna win this thing. I think the Republicans gonna win this thing because Forstag, the pretty boy democrat... made the mistake we learned with Dukakis.”
“I think it's fair to say the house is done... everything I'm reading and seeing is, you know, that's pretty much done.”