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Writes at The Downballot (podcast)
Is David Beard accurate? Across 2 graded calls in 1 article, David Beard scores 100% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 101, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.
“That's pretty much the one example that Tester has to point to... There's a lot of other races where it hasn't worked, so it's not impossible, but I think nobody should be expecting it.”
“So Republicans have one safe flip in their favor. They're almost certainly going to take the West Virginia Senate seat that Joe Manchin previously held.”