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Leaderboard / Emily Jashinsky

Emily Jashinsky

Writes at Breaking Points with Krystal and Saagar

Is Emily Jashinsky accurate? Across 3 graded calls in 1 article, Emily Jashinsky scores 33.33% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 33.33, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

33.33%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

33.33

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

Graded calls

across 1 article. 1 more not yet settled.

Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

Graded calls · 3

Forced to call the battlegrounds, she picked Harris to carry Wisconsin and Michigan while Trump takes Pennsylvania, arguing Trump's rural gains can't offset his suburban weakness.3 graded calls · Nov 1, 2024
- “I think she'll win Michigan.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  right:
  no
  race:
  2024-president-mi
  election year:
  2024
  skill:
  0
  topic:
  elections
  held going in by:
  Democratic
  result from:
  fec-2024-president
  who won:
  Donald Trump
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  race name:

We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong — a misattributed quote, a claim we misread, a grade you disagree with — tell us and we will look at it.

2024 U.S. presidential election in Michigan

decided in the:

general

they said:

Kamala Harris

days before the vote when called:

difficulty:

the winner's party:

Republican

the naive guess:

the party holding the seat keeps it

Election Day:

2024-11-05

the result is:

certified

the party they named:

Democratic

Think this grade is wrong?

“I think Trump will win Pennsylvania.”

Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill

How this was scored

right:: yes
race:: 2024-president-pa
election year:: 2024
skill:: 100
topic:: elections
held going in by:: Democratic
result from:: fec-2024-president
who won:: Donald Trump
accuracy:: 100
baseline:: 0
race name:: 2024 U.S. presidential election in Pennsylvania
decided in the:: general
they said:: Donald Trump
days before the vote when called:: 3
difficulty:: 1
the winner's party:: Republican
the naive guess:: the party holding the seat keeps it
Election Day:: 2024-11-05
the result is:: certified
the party they named:: Republican

Think this grade is wrong?

“Well, okay, so I think the I think Kamala Harris will will win Wisconsin.”

Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill

How this was scored

right:: no
race:: 2024-president-wi
election year:: 2024
skill:: 0
topic:: elections
held going in by:: Democratic
result from:: fec-2024-president
who won:: Donald Trump
accuracy:: 0
baseline:: 0
race name:: 2024 U.S. presidential election in Wisconsin
decided in the:: general
they said:: Kamala Harris
days before the vote when called:: 3
difficulty:: 1
the winner's party:: Republican
the naive guess:: the party holding the seat keeps it
Election Day:: 2024-11-05
the result is:: certified
the party they named:: Democratic

Think this grade is wrong?