Race Winners

They look likely, according to our model, to get a pickup in North Carolina, where the former governor, Roy Cooper, is running against the current chair of the Republican National Committee.

And I should say Democrats are also very likely to hold on to their seat in Georgia, just for what it's worth.

They look then likely as well to somewhere between a sort of toss-up and a lean Democratic seat in Texas and Ohio, where Democrats have got some good recruits in James Talarico and Sherrod Brown, a former incumbent senator of Ohio.

They look then likely as well to somewhere between a sort of toss-up and a lean Democratic seat in Texas and Ohio, where Democrats have got some good recruits in James Talarico and Sherrod Brown

I should say Democrats are also very likely to hold on to their their seat in Georgia just for what it's worth.

They look likely, according to our model, to get get a pickup in North Carolina where the former governor Roy Cooper is running against the current chair of the Republican national committee.

They look then likely as well to somewhere between a sort of toss-up and a lean Democratic seat in Texas and Ohio, where Democrats have got some good recruits in James Talarico and Sherrod Brown

They look then likely as well to somewhere between a sort of toss-up and a lean Democratic seat in Texas and Ohio, where Democrats have got some good recruits in James Talarico and Sherrod Brown

And I should say Democrats are also very likely to hold on to their seat in Georgia, just for what it's worth.

They look likely, according to our model, to get a pickup in North Carolina, where the former governor, Roy Cooper, is running against the current chair of the Republican National Committee.

And just to to put some numbers on that in our forecast, you know, right now, Brown is a is a very narrow favorite in our forecast.

It's like a lean r race, I think, in our forecast right now.

The governor's race in Maine is is kind of likely democratic from from the looks of things

And then Hannah Pingree, is basically the runaway favorite right now in the governor's race.

LePage probably has the edge here... I think the prevailing attitude up here certainly is a LePage win, albeit narrow in this environment... LePage pretty clearly favored.

And and and JB Pritzker is still gonna win reelection, and the legislature is still gonna be super majority democrat.

And then there's the incumbents you don't really wanna be having to defend like Max Miller in Ohio seven, which we actually have is leaning pickup right now.

So I think we gotta assume it's gonna be that, and there's a spending advantage issue again. I think Odell's gonna win.

Now it's Hilton in a runoff with Becerra that Becerra is obviously going to win.

that wave watch is that Virginia two seat. Trump carried that by less than a point. If, Elaine Laurie up doesn't beat Jen Higgins there, something's gone horribly wrong. Democrats should win that pretty handedly.

We're about the... I think we're definitely there in Georgia.

The wave warning is that Rob Wittman's seat, Virginia one you're talking about... in a wave year that's building right now, you expect that to be competitive, but Democrats do eventually win that.

I think we're done. We're done with those. Right? You know, with, congratulations, senator Cooper and reelection senator Ossoff.

congratulations, senator Cooper and reelection senator Ossoff

I don't think anyone will be surprised when Susan Collins wins.