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A limited sample — under 30 graded articles.
100% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
1–25 of 52
47 / 52
graded
5 still pending
It's very interesting in Minnesota, a very tight race in Minnesota... So it would be very surprising if Michelle Tafoya won that
I will not, though, let people delude themselves. Salazar may win, to be clear, just because South Florida is unique.
I think Democrats are going to have a good night. I think they're going to do pretty well. I think the House is pretty much like a foregone conclusion.
I think Darlene Graham is going to win if I had to, like, put some money down or, like, really say or make a prediction today. I would say Darlene Graham is going to win.
The governor race, it looks like Rob Sand is going to win. I mean, every poll I've seen has him up.
Ryan was this your mount basically. / More or less. I think I had Nevada going to Trump.
I was at around this map for a while and the real reason I bet against it with Pa and with North Carolina was some different demographic reasons
the real reason I bet against it with Pa and with North Carolina was some different demographic reasons
Yeah, so you added actually two seventy two sixty eight right, like as narrow as possible. Yep, got it
There's still a pathway for it to happen, but you know, they're underdogs. Two and three shots you hold onto the Senate maybe a touch more.
I don't think she's right that he's gonna win it. But before I viewed it as a safe race, Mount model had it a two percent chance for them... Now I have it up to around twenty or you know, twenty five.
When the Trump people are like, we're seeing absolutely blowout turnout in New Hampshire, I'm like, no, you're not. You're not gonna win New Hampster.
This dude running for governor, Mark Robinson on the Republican side, is probably gonna lose, but definitely double digits, maybe fifteen, maybe twenty.
Pennsylvania is like a fifty to fifty state for the presidentially my model, it's eighty percent for the Senate... So he's an underdog. He's done a good job against Casey
this map where every battleground state ultimately goes to Kamala Harris
this map where every battleground state ultimately goes to Kamala Harris
I've got Wisconsin and Michigan going blue for Kamala.
I've got North Carolina glowing blue
I do have the Kamala landslide scenario, and by landslide, I mean that she wins some level of victory in all seven of the swing states.
this map where every battleground state ultimately goes to Kamala Harris
this map where every battleground state ultimately goes to Kamala Harris
I've got Wisconsin and Michigan going blue for Kamala.
I've got Pennsylvania going red.
then I've got Georgia, Arizona, and Nevada all going red, which gives him exactly two hundred and seventy one electoral votes
this map where every battleground state ultimately goes to Kamala Harris