Eric Moody Predictions: Record, Accuracy, Every Take, page 2

New England Patriots 28 — Raiders 20
“Moody's pick: Patriots 28, Raiders 20”
Close · 52Scored 52.38a naive guess scored 50+4.24 skill
How this was scored
score:
17-45
skill:
4.24
they picked:
NE
season:
2026
accuracy:
52.38
baseline:
50
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
28
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
8
Closing line (Oct 11): Patriots by 3.5, total 45.5 · this 28–20 calls a bigger Patriots win (by 8) and more points (48).
Think this grade is wrong?
Minnesota Vikings 26 — Saints 23
“Moody's pick: Vikings 26, Saints 23”
Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 28.28+97.99 skill
How this was scored
score:
23-13
skill:
97.99
they picked:
MIN
season:
2026
accuracy:
83.33
baseline:
28.28
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
10
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
3
Closing line (Oct 11): Vikings by 2.5, total 41.5 · this 26–23 calls a bigger Vikings win (by 3) and more points (49).
Think this grade is wrong?
Seattle Seahawks 26 — 49ers 23
“Moody's pick: Seahawks 26, 49ers 23”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 43.62+11.36 skill
How this was scored
score:
32-29
skill:
11.36
they picked:
SEA
season:
2026
accuracy:
50
baseline:
43.62
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.32
predicted margin:
3
Closing line (Oct 11): Seahawks by 3, total 46.5 · this 26–23 calls the line’s margin (Seahawks by 3) and more points (49).
Think this grade is wrong?
Detroit Lions 33 — Cardinals 23
“Moody's pick: Lions 33, Cardinals 23”
Close · 67Scored 66.67a naive guess scored 0+118.67 skill
How this was scored
score:
45-21
skill:
118.67
they picked:
DET
season:
2026
accuracy:
66.67
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
24
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.32
predicted margin:
10
Closing line (Oct 11): Lions by 5.5, total 55.5 · this 33–23 calls a bigger Lions win (by 10) and more points (56).
Think this grade is wrong?
Denver Broncos 21 — Chargers 20
“Moody's pick: Broncos 21, Chargers 20”
Hit · 88Scored 88.1a naive guess scored 36.48+91.88 skill
How this was scored
score:
23-17
skill:
91.88
they picked:
DEN
season:
2026
accuracy:
88.1
baseline:
36.48
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
6
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.32
predicted margin:
1
Closing line (Oct 11): Broncos by 3.5, total 42.5 · this 21–20 calls a closer game (Broncos by 1) and fewer points (41).
Think this grade is wrong?
Chicago Bears 27 — Packers 21
“Moody's pick: Bears 27, Packers 21”
Miss · 7Scored 7.14a naive guess scored 50-76.29 skill
How this was scored
score:
7-31
skill:
−76.29
they picked:
CHI
season:
2026
accuracy:
7.14
baseline:
50
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
24
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
6
Closing line (Oct 11): Bears by 1.5, total 46.5 · this 27–21 calls a bigger Bears win (by 6) and more points (48).
Think this grade is wrong?
Jacksonville Jaguars 30 — Eagles 23
“Moody's pick: Jaguars 30, Eagles 23”
Hit · 88Scored 88.1a naive guess scored 96.54-15.03 skill
How this was scored
score:
17-19
skill:
−15.03
they picked:
JAX
season:
2026
accuracy:
88.1
baseline:
96.54
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
2
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.55
predicted margin:
7
Closing line (Oct 11): Jaguars by 7.5, total 41.5 · this 30–23 calls a closer game (Jaguars by 7) and more points (53).
Think this grade is wrong?
Atlanta Falcons 28 — Ravens 27
“Moody's pick: Falcons 28, Ravens 27”
Miss · 36Scored 35.71a naive guess scored 34.1+2.88 skill
How this was scored
score:
30-23
skill:
2.88
they picked:
ATL
season:
2026
accuracy:
35.71
baseline:
34.1
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
7
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.32
predicted margin:
1
Closing line (Oct 11): Falcons by 3.5, total 44.5 · this 28–27 calls a closer game (Falcons by 1) and more points (55).
Think this grade is wrong?
Cleveland Browns 21 — Jets 17
“Moody's pick: Browns 21, Jets 17”
Close · 48Scored 47.62a naive guess scored 90.19-75.77 skill
How this was scored
score:
12-17
skill:
−75.77
they picked:
CLE
season:
2026
accuracy:
47.62
baseline:
90.19
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
5
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
4
Closing line (Oct 11): Jets by 2.5, total 38.5 · this 21–17 calls a Browns win (by 4; the line gave the Browns 44%) and fewer points (38).
Think this grade is wrong?
Los Angeles Rams 33 — Bills 30
“Moody's pick: Rams 33, Bills 30”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 43.52+11.53 skill
How this was scored
score:
37-34
skill:
11.53
they picked:
LAR
season:
2026
accuracy:
50
baseline:
43.52
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.28
predicted margin:
3
Closing line (Oct 12): Rams by 3.5, total 55.5 · this 33–30 calls a closer game (Rams by 3) and more points (63).
Think this grade is wrong?
Pittsburgh Steelers 21 — Colts 19
“Moody's pick: Steelers 21, Colts 19”
Close · 76Scored 76.19a naive guess scored 73.52+4.75 skill
How this was scored
score:
22-34
skill:
4.75
they picked:
PIT
season:
2026
accuracy:
76.19
baseline:
73.52
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
12
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
2
Closing line (Oct 11): Steelers by 3, total 41.5 · this 21–19 calls a closer game (Steelers by 2) and fewer points (40).
Think this grade is wrong?
Cincinnati Bengals 27 — Dolphins 24
“Moody's pick: Bengals 27, Dolphins 24”
Hit · 90Scored 90.48a naive guess scored 35.42+97.99 skill
How this was scored
score:
31-24
skill:
97.99
they picked:
CIN
season:
2026
accuracy:
90.48
baseline:
35.42
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
7
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
3
Closing line (Oct 11): Bengals by 7, total 44.5 · this 27–24 calls a closer game (Bengals by 3) and more points (51).
Think this grade is wrong?
Houston Texans 24 — Titans 19
“Moody's pick: Texans 24, Titans 19”
Close · 57Scored 57.14a naive guess scored 0+101.71 skill
How this was scored
score:
26-3
skill:
101.71
they picked:
HOU
season:
2026
accuracy:
57.14
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
23
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
5
Closing line (Oct 11): Texans by 6.5, total 37.5 · this 24–19 calls a closer game (Texans by 5) and more points (43).
Think this grade is wrong?
New York Giants 24 — Commanders 20
“Moody's pick: Giants 24, Commanders 20”
Close · 65Scored 65.48a naive guess scored 72.91-13.23 skill
How this was scored
score:
27-27
skill:
−13.23
they picked:
NYG
season:
2026
accuracy:
65.48
baseline:
72.91
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
0
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
4
Closing line (Oct 11): Commanders by 3.5, total 41.5 · this 24–20 calls a Giants win (by 4; the line gave the Giants 38%) and more points (44).
Think this grade is wrong?

Oct 4, 2026

Moody picked final scores for all 15 Week 4 games, including upsets by the Jaguars at Cincinnati and the Saints over Atlanta on Monday night.Score Predictions · 15 calls

9 hits · 4 close calls · 2 misses · 9 of 15 graded calls landed

Show the 15 graded calls

New Orleans Saints 34 — Falcons 31
“Moody's pick: Saints 34, Falcons 31”
Miss · 7Scored 7.14a naive guess scored 1.56+10.21 skill
How this was scored
score:
45-24
skill:
10.21
they picked:
NO
season:
2026
accuracy:
7.14
baseline:
1.56
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
21
weeks left when called:
15
naive home margin:
0.66
predicted margin:
3
Closing line (Oct 5): Saints by 1.5, total 47.5 · this 34–31 calls a bigger Saints win (by 3) and more points (65).
Think this grade is wrong?
Green Bay Packers 24 — Buccaneers 17
“Moody's pick: Packers 24, Buccaneers 17”
Hit · 90Scored 90.48a naive guess scored 45.24+82.79 skill
How this was scored
score:
17-14
skill:
82.79
they picked:
GB
season:
2026
accuracy:
90.48
baseline:
45.24
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
15
naive home margin:
1
predicted margin:
7
Closing line (Oct 4): Packers by 3, total 38.5 · this 24–17 calls a bigger Packers win (by 7) and more points (41).
Think this grade is wrong?
Baltimore Ravens 28 — Titans 19
“Moody's pick: Ravens 28, Titans 19”
Hit · 93Scored 92.86a naive guess scored 88.1+8.71 skill
How this was scored
score:
18-24
skill:
8.71
they picked:
BAL
season:
2026
accuracy:
92.86
baseline:
88.1
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
6
weeks left when called:
15
naive home margin:
1
predicted margin:
9
Closing line (Oct 4): Ravens by 11.5, total 42.5 · this 28–19 calls a closer game (Ravens by 9) and more points (47).
Think this grade is wrong?
Arizona Cardinals 20 — Giants 13
“Moody's pick: Cardinals 20, Giants 13”
Miss · 38Scored 38.1a naive guess scored 73.81-65.36 skill
How this was scored
score:
24-36
skill:
−65.36
they picked:
ARI
season:
2026
accuracy:
38.1
baseline:
73.81
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
12
weeks left when called:
15
naive home margin:
1
predicted margin:
7
Closing line (Oct 4): Cardinals by 2.5, total 44.5 · this 20–13 calls a bigger Cardinals win (by 7) and fewer points (33).
Think this grade is wrong?
Indianapolis Colts 31 — Commanders 23
“Moody's pick: Colts 31, Commanders 23”
Close · 79Scored 78.57a naive guess scored 10.86+123.92 skill
How this was scored
score:
30-13
skill:
123.92
they picked:
IND
season:
2026
accuracy:
78.57
baseline:
10.86
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
17
weeks left when called:
15
naive home margin:
0.56
predicted margin:
8
Closing line (Oct 4): Colts by 4.5, total 46.5 · this 31–23 calls a bigger Colts win (by 8) and more points (54).
Think this grade is wrong?
Los Angeles Rams 37 — Eagles 26
“Moody's pick: Rams 37, Eagles 26”
Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 42.86+74.07 skill
How this was scored
score:
24-20
skill:
74.07
they picked:
LAR
season:
2026
accuracy:
83.33
baseline:
42.86
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
4
weeks left when called:
15
naive home margin:
1
predicted margin:
11
Closing line (Oct 4): Rams by 3.5, total 42.5 · this 37–26 calls a bigger Rams win (by 11) and more points (63).
Think this grade is wrong?
Minnesota Vikings 27 — Dolphins 13
“Moody's pick: Vikings 27, Dolphins 13”
Close · 79Scored 78.57a naive guess scored 90.48-21.79 skill
How this was scored
score:
10-15
skill:
−21.79
they picked:
MIN
season:
2026
accuracy:
78.57
baseline:
90.48
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
5
weeks left when called:
15
naive home margin:
1
predicted margin:
14
Closing line (Oct 4): Vikings by 10, total 38.5 · this 27–13 calls a bigger Vikings win (by 14) and more points (40).
Think this grade is wrong?
Detroit Lions 31 — Panthers 28
“Moody's pick: Lions 31, Panthers 28”
Close · 43Scored 42.86a naive guess scored 88.1-82.79 skill
How this was scored
score:
26-32
skill:
−82.79
they picked:
DET
season:
2026
accuracy:
42.86
baseline:
88.1
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
6
weeks left when called:
15
naive home margin:
1
predicted margin:
3
Closing line (Oct 4): Lions by 4.5, total 52.5 · this 31–28 calls a closer game (Lions by 3) and more points (59).
Think this grade is wrong?
San Francisco 49ers 23 — Broncos 20
“Moody's pick: 49ers 23, Broncos 20”
Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 78.57+8.71 skill
How this was scored
score:
14-24
skill:
8.71
they picked:
SF
season:
2026
accuracy:
83.33
baseline:
78.57
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
10
weeks left when called:
15
naive home margin:
1
predicted margin:
3
Closing line (Oct 4): 49ers by 3, total 48.5 · this 23–20 calls the line’s margin (49ers by 3) and fewer points (43).
Think this grade is wrong?
Seattle Seahawks 28 — Chargers 21
“Moody's pick: Seahawks 28, Chargers 21”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 85.71+26.14 skill
How this was scored
score:
23-30
skill:
26.14
they picked:
SEA
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
85.71
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
7
weeks left when called:
15
naive home margin:
1
predicted margin:
7
Closing line (Oct 4): Seahawks by 7, total 42.5 · this 28–21 calls the line’s margin (Seahawks by 7) and more points (49).
Think this grade is wrong?
Kansas City Chiefs 30 — Raiders 24
“Moody's pick: Chiefs 30, Raiders 24”
Hit · 93Scored 92.86a naive guess scored 45.24+87.14 skill
How this was scored
score:
30-27
skill:
87.14
they picked:
KC
season:
2026
accuracy:
92.86
baseline:
45.24
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
15
naive home margin:
1
predicted margin:
6
Closing line (Oct 4): Chiefs by 4.5, total 47.5 · this 30–24 calls a bigger Chiefs win (by 6) and more points (54).
Think this grade is wrong?
Jacksonville Jaguars 34 — Bengals 31
“Moody's pick: Jaguars 34, Bengals 31”
Hit · 95Scored 95.24a naive guess scored 40.48+100.21 skill
How this was scored
score:
22-17
skill:
100.21
they picked:
JAX
season:
2026
accuracy:
95.24
baseline:
40.48
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
5
weeks left when called:
15
naive home margin:
1
predicted margin:
3
Closing line (Oct 4): Bengals by 2.5, total 51.5 · this 34–31 calls a Jaguars win (by 3; the line gave the Jaguars 43%) and more points (65).
Think this grade is wrong?
Chicago Bears 23 — Jets 20
“Moody's pick: Bears 23, Jets 20”
Hit · 81Scored 80.95a naive guess scored 76.19+8.71 skill
How this was scored
score:
12-23
skill:
8.71
they picked:
CHI
season:
2026
accuracy:
80.95
baseline:
76.19
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
11
weeks left when called:
15
naive home margin:
1
predicted margin:
3
Closing line (Oct 4): Bears by 3.5, total 43.5 · this 23–20 calls a closer game (Bears by 3) and fewer points (43).
Think this grade is wrong?
Dallas Cowboys 23 — Texans 19
“Moody's pick: Cowboys 23, Texans 19”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 42.86+104.57 skill
How this was scored
score:
34-30
skill:
104.57
they picked:
DAL
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
42.86
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
4
weeks left when called:
15
naive home margin:
1
predicted margin:
4
Closing line (Oct 4): Texans by 3, total 48.5 · this 23–19 calls a Cowboys win (by 4; the line gave the Cowboys 42%) and fewer points (42).
Think this grade is wrong?
Buffalo Bills 30 — Patriots 27
“Moody's pick: Bills 30, Patriots 27”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 45.24+8.71 skill
How this was scored
score:
29-26
skill:
8.71
they picked:
BUF
season:
2026
accuracy:
50
baseline:
45.24
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
15
naive home margin:
1
predicted margin:
3
Closing line (Oct 4): Bills by 7, total 49.5 · this 30–27 calls a closer game (Bills by 3) and more points (57).
Think this grade is wrong?

Eric Moody

Every graded call, continued · page 2