Skip to main content

Eric Moody#70 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 18, 2026

Predicts an Eagles win over Tennessee, 31-16.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

74Close · out of 100
Eagles 24–20What happenedcalled Eagles by 15 · won by 4
39.25A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
73.81This callout of 100
#70Eric Moody’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Eric Moody said

Eric Moody: Eagles 31, Titans 16
Our reading: Philadelphia Eagles 31 — Titans 16
Where it was published
Sports Illustrated
The piece
Titans vs. Eagles Week 2 Game Picks: Experts Giving Tennessee No Chance for Home Upset
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidSep 18
  2. PlayedSep 20
  3. GradedSep 21

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 73.8 out of 100, against 39.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  1. Score PredictionsPhiladelphia Eagles

    Philadelphia Eagles 31 — Titans 16

    What happenedEagles 24–20called Eagles by 15 · won by 4
    73.81Close · naive 39.25
    73.81this call39.25a naive guess34.56better than naive1.94difficulty+67.05skill

    Closing line (Sep 20): Eagles by 7, total 39.5 · this 31–16 calls a bigger Eagles win (by 15) and more points (47).

    How this was scored
    score:
    24-20
    skill:
    67.05
    they picked:
    PHI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    73.81
    baseline:
    39.25
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    17
    naive home margin:
    −0.52
    predicted margin:
    15
    Think this is wrong?

The game in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Others on the same people

More score predictions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.