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Writes at Tangle (newsletter)
Across 2 graded calls in 2 articles, Faith Bottum scores 100% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 102, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
How accurate are election pundits overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 2 calls · one square per call
2hits100% of graded
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
No kind has five graded calls yet, so none is rated.
2 graded calls in 2 articles, newest first.
“The Republicanization of the working class, the importance of national issues, and the rising number of new conservatives in the state give the edge to mister Sheehy, but it's still close, and a GOP senate isn't a sure thing.”
The same 21, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Faith Bottum isn’t ranked yet: a record is ranked from 10 graded articles, so a lucky first handful can’t top the table.
“The Republicanization of the working class, the importance of national issues and the rising number of new conservatives in the state give the edge to Mr. Sheehy.”