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Writes at Steve Deace Show
Across 4 graded calls in 1 article, Gaston Mooney scores 66.67% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 86.67, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
How accurate are election pundits overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 4 calls · one square per call
3hits75% of graded
1misses25%
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
No kind has five graded calls yet, so none is rated.
4 graded calls in 1 article, newest first.
“They will control the House and the White House in 2024.”
The same 21, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Gaston Mooney isn’t ranked yet: a record is ranked from 10 graded articles, so a lucky first handful can’t top the table.
“They will control the House and the White House in 2024.”
“the GOP has filibuster proof majority in the Senate, White House and House control”
“So GOP filibuster proof majority in the Senate.”