Gennaro Filice Predictions: Record, Accuracy, Every Take, page 2

New York Jets 24 — Cleveland Browns 21
“G. Filice New York Jets 24-21”
Hit · 95Scored 95.24a naive guess scored 90.19+8.99 skill
How this was scored
score:
12-17
skill:
8.99
they picked:
NYJ
season:
2026
accuracy:
95.24
baseline:
90.19
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
5
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
3
Closing line (Oct 11): Jets by 2.5, total 38.5 · this 24–21 calls a bigger Jets win (by 3) and more points (45).
Think this grade is wrong?
New England Patriots 20 — Las Vegas Raiders 17
“G. Filice New England Patriots 20-17”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 50+0 skill
How this was scored
score:
17-45
skill:
0
they picked:
NE
season:
2026
accuracy:
50
baseline:
50
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
28
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
3
Closing line (Oct 11): Patriots by 3.5, total 45.5 · this 20–17 calls a closer game (Patriots by 3) and fewer points (37).
Think this grade is wrong?
Detroit Lions 42 — Arizona Cardinals 24
“G. Filice Detroit Lions 42-24”
Hit · 86Scored 85.71a naive guess scored 0+152.57 skill
How this was scored
score:
45-21
skill:
152.57
they picked:
DET
season:
2026
accuracy:
85.71
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
24
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.32
predicted margin:
18
Closing line (Oct 11): Lions by 5.5, total 55.5 · this 42–24 calls a bigger Lions win (by 18) and more points (66).
Think this grade is wrong?
Cincinnati Bengals 19 — Miami Dolphins 14
“G. Filice Cincinnati Bengals 19-14”
Hit · 95Scored 95.24a naive guess scored 35.42+106.47 skill
How this was scored
score:
31-24
skill:
106.47
they picked:
CIN
season:
2026
accuracy:
95.24
baseline:
35.42
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
7
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
5
Closing line (Oct 11): Bengals by 7, total 44.5 · this 19–14 calls a closer game (Bengals by 5) and fewer points (33).
Think this grade is wrong?
Washington Commanders 26 — New York Giants 23
“G. Filice Washington Commanders 26-23”
Close · 68Scored 67.86a naive guess scored 72.91-8.99 skill
How this was scored
score:
27-27
skill:
−8.99
they picked:
WAS
season:
2026
accuracy:
67.86
baseline:
72.91
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
0
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
3
Closing line (Oct 11): Commanders by 3.5, total 41.5 · this 26–23 calls a closer game (Commanders by 3) and more points (49).
Think this grade is wrong?
Pittsburgh Steelers 22 — Indianapolis Colts 16
“G. Filice Pittsburgh Steelers 22-16”
Hit · 86Scored 85.71a naive guess scored 73.52+21.71 skill
How this was scored
score:
22-34
skill:
21.71
they picked:
PIT
season:
2026
accuracy:
85.71
baseline:
73.52
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
12
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
6
Closing line (Oct 11): Steelers by 3, total 41.5 · this 22–16 calls a bigger Steelers win (by 6) and fewer points (38).
Think this grade is wrong?
Atlanta Falcons 28 — Baltimore Ravens 17
“G. Filice Atlanta Falcons 28-17”
Close · 40Scored 40.48a naive guess scored 34.1+11.36 skill
How this was scored
score:
30-23
skill:
11.36
they picked:
ATL
season:
2026
accuracy:
40.48
baseline:
34.1
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
7
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.32
predicted margin:
11
Closing line (Oct 11): Falcons by 3.5, total 44.5 · this 28–17 calls a bigger Falcons win (by 11) and more points (45).
Think this grade is wrong?
Houston Texans 26 — Tennessee Titans 7
“G. Filice Houston Texans 26-7”
Hit · 90Scored 90.48a naive guess scored 0+161.05 skill
How this was scored
score:
26-3
skill:
161.05
they picked:
HOU
season:
2026
accuracy:
90.48
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
23
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
19
Closing line (Oct 11): Texans by 6.5, total 37.5 · this 26–7 calls a bigger Texans win (by 19) and fewer points (33).
Think this grade is wrong?
Seattle Seahawks 27 — San Francisco 49ers 19
“G. Filice Seattle Seahawks 27-19”
Miss · 38Scored 38.1a naive guess scored 43.62-9.83 skill
How this was scored
score:
32-29
skill:
−9.83
they picked:
SEA
season:
2026
accuracy:
38.1
baseline:
43.62
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.32
predicted margin:
8
Closing line (Oct 11): Seahawks by 3, total 46.5 · this 27–19 calls a bigger Seahawks win (by 8) and fewer points (46).
Think this grade is wrong?
Buffalo Bills 27 — Los Angeles Rams 26
“G. Filice Buffalo Bills 27-26”
Hit · 95Scored 95.24a naive guess scored 43.52+92.06 skill
How this was scored
score:
37-34
skill:
92.06
they picked:
BUF
season:
2026
accuracy:
95.24
baseline:
43.52
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.28
predicted margin:
1
Closing line (Oct 12): Rams by 3.5, total 55.5 · this 27–26 calls a Bills win (by 1; the line gave the Bills 38%) and fewer points (53).
Think this grade is wrong?
Green Bay Packers 25 — Chicago Bears 22
“G. Filice Green Bay Packers 25-22”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 50+0 skill
How this was scored
score:
7-31
skill:
0
they picked:
GB
season:
2026
accuracy:
50
baseline:
50
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
24
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
3
Closing line (Oct 11): Bears by 1.5, total 46.5 · this 25–22 calls a Packers win (by 3; the line gave the Packers 47%) and more points (47).
Think this grade is wrong?
Jacksonville Jaguars 26 — Philadelphia Eagles 13
“G. Filice Jacksonville Jaguars 26-13”
Close · 74Scored 73.81a naive guess scored 96.54-40.45 skill
How this was scored
score:
17-19
skill:
−40.45
they picked:
JAX
season:
2026
accuracy:
73.81
baseline:
96.54
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
2
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.55
predicted margin:
13
Closing line (Oct 11): Jaguars by 7.5, total 41.5 · this 26–13 calls a bigger Jaguars win (by 13) and fewer points (39).
Think this grade is wrong?
Denver Broncos 23 — Los Angeles Chargers 16
“G. Filice Denver Broncos 23-16”
Hit · 98Scored 97.62a naive guess scored 36.48+108.83 skill
How this was scored
score:
23-17
skill:
108.83
they picked:
DEN
season:
2026
accuracy:
97.62
baseline:
36.48
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
6
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.32
predicted margin:
7
Closing line (Oct 11): Broncos by 3.5, total 42.5 · this 23–16 calls a bigger Broncos win (by 7) and fewer points (39).
Think this grade is wrong?
New Orleans Saints 21 — Minnesota Vikings 20
“G. Filice New Orleans Saints 21-20”
Miss · 29Scored 28.57a naive guess scored 28.28+0.52 skill
How this was scored
score:
23-13
skill:
0.52
they picked:
NO
season:
2026
accuracy:
28.57
baseline:
28.28
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
10
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
1
Closing line (Oct 11): Vikings by 2.5, total 41.5 · this 21–20 calls a Saints win (by 1; the line gave the Saints 44%) and fewer points (41).
Think this grade is wrong?

Oct 4, 2026

Picked winners and exact scores for every Week 4 game, including the Bills over a struggling Patriots offense, the Eagles over the Rams and the only Browns pick of the panel.Score Predictions · 16 calls

6 hits · 5 close calls · 5 misses · 6 of 16 graded calls landed

Show the 16 graded calls

Indianapolis Colts 28 — Washington Commanders 21
“Gennaro Filice: Indianapolis Colts 28-21”
Close · 76Scored 76.19a naive guess scored 10.86+119.56 skill
How this was scored
score:
30-13
skill:
119.56
they picked:
IND
season:
2026
accuracy:
76.19
baseline:
10.86
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
17
weeks left when called:
15
naive home margin:
0.56
predicted margin:
7
Closing line (Oct 4): Colts by 4.5, total 46.5 · this 28–21 calls a bigger Colts win (by 7) and more points (49).
Think this grade is wrong?
Cleveland Browns 17 — Pittsburgh Steelers 16
“Gennaro Filice: Cleveland Browns 17-16”
Miss · 2Scored 2.38a naive guess scored 51.13-89.21 skill
How this was scored
score:
6-27
skill:
−89.21
they picked:
CLE
season:
2026
accuracy:
2.38
baseline:
51.13
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
21
weeks left when called:
15
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
1
Think this grade is wrong?
Minnesota Vikings 19 — Miami Dolphins 10
“Gennaro Filice: Minnesota Vikings 19-10”
Hit · 90Scored 90.48a naive guess scored 90.48+0 skill
How this was scored
score:
10-15
skill:
0
they picked:
MIN
season:
2026
accuracy:
90.48
baseline:
90.48
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
5
weeks left when called:
15
naive home margin:
1
predicted margin:
9
Closing line (Oct 4): Vikings by 10, total 38.5 · this 19–10 calls a closer game (Vikings by 9) and fewer points (29).
Think this grade is wrong?
Chicago Bears 27 — New York Jets 20
“Gennaro Filice: Chicago Bears 27-20”
Hit · 90Scored 90.48a naive guess scored 76.19+26.14 skill
How this was scored
score:
12-23
skill:
26.14
they picked:
CHI
season:
2026
accuracy:
90.48
baseline:
76.19
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
11
weeks left when called:
15
naive home margin:
1
predicted margin:
7
Closing line (Oct 4): Bears by 3.5, total 43.5 · this 27–20 calls a bigger Bears win (by 7) and more points (47).
Think this grade is wrong?
Denver Broncos 24 — San Francisco 49ers 22
“Gennaro Filice: Denver Broncos 24-22”
Miss · 31Scored 30.95a naive guess scored 78.57-87.14 skill
How this was scored
score:
14-24
skill:
−87.14
they picked:
DEN
season:
2026
accuracy:
30.95
baseline:
78.57
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
10
weeks left when called:
15
naive home margin:
1
predicted margin:
2
Closing line (Oct 4): 49ers by 3, total 48.5 · this 24–22 calls a Broncos win (by 2; the line gave the Broncos 40%) and fewer points (46).
Think this grade is wrong?
Seattle Seahawks 27 — Los Angeles Chargers 15
“Gennaro Filice: Seattle Seahawks 27-15”
Hit · 88Scored 88.1a naive guess scored 85.71+4.36 skill
How this was scored
score:
23-30
skill:
4.36
they picked:
SEA
season:
2026
accuracy:
88.1
baseline:
85.71
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
7
weeks left when called:
15
naive home margin:
1
predicted margin:
12
Closing line (Oct 4): Seahawks by 7, total 42.5 · this 27–15 calls a bigger Seahawks win (by 12) and fewer points (42).
Think this grade is wrong?
Baltimore Ravens 21 — Tennessee Titans 13
“Gennaro Filice: Baltimore Ravens 21-13”
Hit · 95Scored 95.24a naive guess scored 88.1+13.07 skill
How this was scored
score:
18-24
skill:
13.07
they picked:
BAL
season:
2026
accuracy:
95.24
baseline:
88.1
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
6
weeks left when called:
15
naive home margin:
1
predicted margin:
8
Closing line (Oct 4): Ravens by 11.5, total 42.5 · this 21–13 calls a closer game (Ravens by 8) and fewer points (34).
Think this grade is wrong?
Atlanta Falcons 26 — New Orleans Saints 23
“Gennaro Filice: Atlanta Falcons 26-23”
Close · 57Scored 57.14a naive guess scored 1.56+101.71 skill
How this was scored
score:
45-24
skill:
101.71
they picked:
ATL
season:
2026
accuracy:
57.14
baseline:
1.56
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
21
weeks left when called:
15
naive home margin:
0.66
predicted margin:
3
Closing line (Oct 5): Saints by 1.5, total 47.5 · this 26–23 calls a Falcons win (by 3; the line gave the Falcons 48%) and more points (49).
Think this grade is wrong?
Houston Texans 28 — Dallas Cowboys 17
“Gennaro Filice: Houston Texans 28-17”
Miss · 33Scored 33.33a naive guess scored 42.86-17.43 skill
How this was scored
score:
34-30
skill:
−17.43
they picked:
HOU
season:
2026
accuracy:
33.33
baseline:
42.86
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
4
weeks left when called:
15
naive home margin:
1
predicted margin:
11
Closing line (Oct 4): Texans by 3, total 48.5 · this 28–17 calls a bigger Texans win (by 11) and fewer points (45).
Think this grade is wrong?
Buffalo Bills 27 — New England Patriots 16
“Gennaro Filice: Buffalo Bills 27-16”
Miss · 31Scored 30.95a naive guess scored 45.24-26.14 skill
How this was scored
score:
29-26
skill:
−26.14
they picked:
BUF
season:
2026
accuracy:
30.95
baseline:
45.24
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
15
naive home margin:
1
predicted margin:
11
Closing line (Oct 4): Bills by 7, total 49.5 · this 27–16 calls a bigger Bills win (by 11) and fewer points (43).
Think this grade is wrong?
Kansas City Chiefs 24 — Las Vegas Raiders 20
“Gennaro Filice: Kansas City Chiefs 24-20”
Hit · 98Scored 97.62a naive guess scored 45.24+95.86 skill
How this was scored
score:
30-27
skill:
95.86
they picked:
KC
season:
2026
accuracy:
97.62
baseline:
45.24
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
15
naive home margin:
1
predicted margin:
4
Closing line (Oct 4): Chiefs by 4.5, total 47.5 · this 24–20 calls a closer game (Chiefs by 4) and fewer points (44).
Think this grade is wrong?
Philadelphia Eagles 23 — Los Angeles Rams 21
“Gennaro Filice: Philadelphia Eagles 23-21”
Close · 45Scored 45.24a naive guess scored 42.86+4.36 skill
How this was scored
score:
24-20
skill:
4.36
they picked:
PHI
season:
2026
accuracy:
45.24
baseline:
42.86
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
4
weeks left when called:
15
naive home margin:
1
predicted margin:
2
Closing line (Oct 4): Rams by 3.5, total 42.5 · this 23–21 calls a Eagles win (by 2; the line gave the Eagles 36%) and more points (44).
Think this grade is wrong?
Arizona Cardinals 26 — New York Giants 19
“Gennaro Filice: Arizona Cardinals 26-19”
Miss · 38Scored 38.1a naive guess scored 73.81-65.36 skill
How this was scored
score:
24-36
skill:
−65.36
they picked:
ARI
season:
2026
accuracy:
38.1
baseline:
73.81
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
12
weeks left when called:
15
naive home margin:
1
predicted margin:
7
Closing line (Oct 4): Cardinals by 2.5, total 44.5 · this 26–19 calls a bigger Cardinals win (by 7) and more points (45).
Think this grade is wrong?
Detroit Lions 30 — Carolina Panthers 23
“Gennaro Filice: Detroit Lions 30-23”
Close · 48Scored 47.62a naive guess scored 88.1-74.07 skill
How this was scored
score:
26-32
skill:
−74.07
they picked:
DET
season:
2026
accuracy:
47.62
baseline:
88.1
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
6
weeks left when called:
15
naive home margin:
1
predicted margin:
7
Closing line (Oct 4): Lions by 4.5, total 52.5 · this 30–23 calls a bigger Lions win (by 7) and more points (53).
Think this grade is wrong?
Green Bay Packers 20 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers 13
“Gennaro Filice: Green Bay Packers 20-13”
Hit · 90Scored 90.48a naive guess scored 45.24+82.79 skill
How this was scored
score:
17-14
skill:
82.79
they picked:
GB
season:
2026
accuracy:
90.48
baseline:
45.24
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
15
naive home margin:
1
predicted margin:
7
Closing line (Oct 4): Packers by 3, total 38.5 · this 20–13 calls a bigger Packers win (by 7) and fewer points (33).
Think this grade is wrong?
Cincinnati Bengals 31 — Jacksonville Jaguars 24
“Gennaro Filice: Cincinnati Bengals 31-24”
Close · 45Scored 45.24a naive guess scored 40.48+8.71 skill
How this was scored
score:
22-17
skill:
8.71
they picked:
CIN
season:
2026
accuracy:
45.24
baseline:
40.48
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
5
weeks left when called:
15
naive home margin:
1
predicted margin:
7
Closing line (Oct 4): Bengals by 2.5, total 51.5 · this 31–24 calls a bigger Bengals win (by 7) and more points (55).
Think this grade is wrong?

Gennaro Filice

Every graded call, continued · page 2