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Writes at Sports Illustrated
Across 38 graded calls in 10 articles, Gennaro Filice scores 66.91% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 47.94, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a limited sample, under thirty graded articles, so treat it with caution. That ranks #13 of 87 ranked NFL pundits on the MissedTakes leaderboard.
How accurate are NFL experts overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 43 calls · one square per call
18hits47% of graded
11Close29%
9misses24%
5
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
38 graded calls in 10 articles, newest first — page 1 of 2. Every take from Gennaro Filice, including the ones still waiting →
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
Minnesota Vikings to beat Bills
“Gennaro Filice: Vikings”
The same 87, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Why the ranks differ: a naive guess scores very differently depending on which calls were made, from 15.25% on the hardest record here to 85.71% on the easiest. Accuracy alone flatters easy calls, so by accuracy Gennaro Filice would be #32; the Score measures the lift over a naive guess on the same calls, and that puts this record at #13.
| # | Pundit | Score | Accuracy | Graded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Lance Zierlein | 48.28 | 64.33% | 45 |
| 12 | Derek Brown | 48.03 | 69.56% | 115 |
| 13 | Gennaro Filice | 47.94 | 66.91% | 38 |
| 14 | Hondo Carpenter | 46.67 | 70% | 13 |
| 15 | Mike Florio | 45.89 | 64.67% | 40 |
Closing line (Nov 9): Bills by 3 · underdog pick, Vikings 38%.
Seattle Seahawks to beat Cardinals
“Gennaro Filice: Seahawks”
Closing line (Nov 8): Seahawks by 8.5 · favorite pick, Seahawks about 4 in 5 (79%).
Chicago Bears to beat Seahawks
“Gennaro Filice: Bears”
Closing line (Nov 2): Seahawks by 3 · underdog pick, Bears 40%.
Chicago Bears to beat Seattle Seahawks
“Genaro Filice, NFL.com : Chicago Bears”
Closing line (Nov 2): Seahawks by 3 · underdog pick, Bears 40%.
New York Jets 19 — Dolphins 16
“Gennaro Filice: Jets 19, Dolphins 16”
Closing line (Oct 25): Jets by 3.5, total 39.5 · this 19–16 calls a closer game (Jets by 3) and fewer points (35).
Tennessee Titans 14 — Colts 13
“Gennaro Filice: Titans 14, Colts 13”
Closing line (Oct 18): Colts by 6.5, total 43.5 · this 14–13 calls a Titans win (by 1; the line gave the Titans 28%) and fewer points (27).