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Joe Marino covers the Buffalo Bills for the Locked On Bills podcast, where he digs into roster projections, draft analysis, and player rankings. His work spans depth chart battles to season win totals, with a particular focus on the Bills' core and the competition for roster spots around them.
Across 181 graded calls in 14 articles, Joe Marino scores 80.17% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 74.94, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a limited sample, under thirty graded articles, so treat it with caution. That ranks #2 of 87 ranked NFL pundits on the MissedTakes leaderboard. Their strongest kind of call is Mock Draft Picks (76.94% accuracy across 17 graded calls); their weakest is Roster Spot Calls (68.36% across 157 graded calls).
How accurate are NFL experts overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 328 calls · one square per call
159hits88% of graded
3Close2%
19misses10%
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
Joe Marino covers the Buffalo Bills for the Locked On Bills podcast, where he digs into roster projections, draft analysis, and player rankings. His work spans depth chart battles to season win totals, with a particular focus on the Bills' core and the competition for roster spots around them.
A longer profile is written once a record reaches 30 graded articles, and published only after a person reviews it.
181 graded calls in 14 articles, newest first — page 1 of 6. Every take from Joe Marino, including the ones still waiting →
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
147waitingnot graded yet
The same 87, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Why the ranks differ: a naive guess scores very differently depending on which calls were made, from 15.25% on the hardest record here to 85.71% on the easiest. Accuracy alone flatters easy calls, so by accuracy Joe Marino would be #5; the Score measures the lift over a naive guess on the same calls, and that puts this record at #2.
| # | Pundit | Score | Accuracy | Graded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jared Koch | 81.18 | 73.61% | 19 |
| 2 | Joe Marino | 74.94 | 80.17% | 181 |
| 3 | Damonza Byrd | 65.8 | 58% | 14 |
| 4 | Bryan DeArdo | 64.4 | 84.97% | 25 |
| 5 | Tom Pelissero | 60.08 | 82.13% | 38 |
Buffalo Bills to beat Lions
“Do I think the bills win this game, or do they fall to one and one? No. I think the Bills win it. I do. ... Bills get to two and o.”
Closing line (Sep 17): Bills by 5.5 · favorite pick, Bills about 2 in 3 (68%).
Buffalo Bills to beat Minnesota
“Then they go to Minnesota, and, folks, our quarterback advantage should be significant in that game. I like to think we can handle that one.”