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Tom Pelissero covers the NFL as an insider, appearing regularly on podcasts like Around the NFL and Move the Sticks. His reporting spans the league—draft positioning, player movement, roster decisions—with observations touching teams from Cleveland to Los Angeles and players from Cam Ward to Matthew Stafford.
More about Tom Pelissero ↓Writes at Move the Sticks (podcast)
Across 38 graded calls in 18 articles, Tom Pelissero scores 82.13% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 60.08, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a limited sample, under thirty graded articles, so treat it with caution. That ranks #5 of 87 ranked NFL pundits on the MissedTakes leaderboard.
How accurate are NFL experts overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 114 calls · one square per call
31hits82% of graded
3Close8%
4misses11%
76
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
Tom Pelissero covers the NFL as an insider, appearing regularly on podcasts like Around the NFL and Move the Sticks. His reporting spans the league—draft positioning, player movement, roster decisions—with observations touching teams from Cleveland to Los Angeles and players from Cam Ward to Matthew Stafford.
A longer profile is written once a record reaches 30 graded articles, and published only after a person reviews it.
38 graded calls in 20 articles, newest first — page 1 of 2. Every take from Tom Pelissero, including the ones still waiting →
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
The same 87, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Why the ranks differ: a naive guess scores very differently depending on which calls were made, from 15.25% on the hardest record here to 85.71% on the easiest. Accuracy alone flatters easy calls, so by accuracy Tom Pelissero would be #3; the Score measures the lift over a naive guess on the same calls, and that puts this record at #5.
| # | Pundit | Score | Accuracy | Graded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Damonza Byrd | 65.8 | 58% | 14 |
| 4 | Bryan DeArdo | 64.4 | 84.97% | 25 |
| 5 | Tom Pelissero | 60.08 | 82.13% | 38 |
| 6 | Dan Parr | 56.39 | 72.71% | 38 |
| 7 | Donnie Druin | 56.31 | 96.43% | 16 |
Kirk Cousins to move — “being traded during the season”
“I would absolutely not rule out the possibility Kirk Cousins being traded during the season.”
Joey Porter Jr. to move to Dallas Cowboys
“he's gonna try to trade for Joey Porter junior... That to me is the most logical team if they're gonna trade.”
New York Giants to beat Arizona
“they've got a game against, yeah, Arizona's also a home game... Those are three winnable types of games.”
New York Giants to beat Washington
“I believe, they've got a game against Washington... Those are three winnable types of games.”
New York Giants to beat Tennessee
“They got Tennessee at home... Those are three winnable types of games... These are games you should be able to win, even with a backup quarterback here.”
Closing line (Sep 27): Giants by 2.5 · favorite pick, Giants 54%.
Seattle Seahawks to beat commanders
“The commander's problem is they're o and two, and they've got the Seahawks on Sunday. That that looks like o and three unless Marcus Mariota plays at an exceptional level.”
Closing line (Sep 27): Seahawks by 8.5 · favorite pick, Seahawks about 3 in 4 (77%).
Deshaun Watson to make the roster
“I'd say he and Deshaun Watson, both on the team in September and quite possibly both play.”
Shedeur Sanders to make the roster
“If I were sitting here right now, June 24 and had to make an educated guess, I'd say he and Deshaun Watson, both on the team in September and quite possibly both play.”
Kirk Cousins to move
“besides Kirk Cousins who we know based on his contract is gonna be released on March 11”
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
“we we've kinda talked about the Raiders within this lens of, well, they're drafting Fernando Mendoza, we think, at number one overall”
Ty Simpson to be 2nd quarterback off the board
“After that, the only other quarterback that somebody might think can be a starter sooner than later is probably Tye Simpson from Alabama.”
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
“You have a draft where Fernando Mendoza, we all assume and believe he's going number one to the Raiders.”
Daniel Jones to be 1st on the depth chart
“Anthony Richardson knows he has no path to be the starter in Indianapolis again... Everything is tracking toward Daniel Jones being ready for week one.”
Kirk Cousins to move
“Kirk Cousins, we already know he's getting released. He's going to be released on March 11 based on revised contract.”
Carson Schwesinger to win Defensive Player of the Year
“showing why he, on top of Quinn Shaw Judkins and Harold Fannin and Carson Schwesterner might be the defensive player of the year and Mason Graham.”