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Writes at John and Lance — ESPN Houston (podcast)
Across 14 graded calls in 5 articles, John Granato scores 17.94% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 7.13, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
How accurate are NFL experts overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 24 calls · one square per call
4hits29% of graded
1Close7%
9misses64%
10
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
14 graded calls in 5 articles, newest first. Every take from John Granato, including the ones still waiting →
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
Houston Texans to beat Bengals
The same 87, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
John Granato isn’t ranked yet: a record is ranked from 10 graded articles, so a lucky first handful can’t top the table.
“I still got the Texans winning this one. ... I like the Texans over the Bengals.”
Closing line (Sep 20): Texans by 3 · favorite pick, Texans 57%.
Houston Texans to beat Bengals
“I got the Texans. Because when when times are the darkest, I'm still with our team.”
Closing line (Sep 20): Texans by 3 · favorite pick, Texans 57%.
Houston Texans to beat Bills
“That is five star in Vegas... Great stuff as always. Go Texans. I'm with you a 100% on that one.”
Closing line (Sep 13): Bills by 1.5 · a toss-up, Bills 50%, Texans 50%.
Los Angeles Chargers to beat Arizona Cardinals
“They'll score they'll score 20. I see the Chargers scoring twenty eight”
Closing line (Sep 13): Chargers by 8.5 · favorite pick, Chargers about 4 in 5 (79%).
Houston Texans to beat jags
“At versus the jags in England, you know what? I don't see a loss before the buy.”
Houston Texans to beat Bills
“The Bills game. They win for sure... Bills win. I mean, Josh Allen's got no chance here.”
Houston Texans to beat titans
“At the titans come on. That's that's stupid.”
Houston Texans to beat Giants
“The Giants, stop. The Jags, the Giants, bye week seven and o.”
Houston Texans to beat Titans
“And then the Titans to finish up, and they're pitiful.”
Houston Texans to beat Bengals
“Bengals offensive line blows. Texans two and o.”
Houston Texans to beat Cowboys
“Cowboys goes without saying. The Texans are four and o”
Houston Texans to beat Chargers
“At the Chargers, I mean, Justin Herbert, he always fares well against the Texans, doesn't he?... We're gonna destroy him.”
Houston Texans to beat Colts
“At the Colts, Danny Dimes? You okay? Nice. You got no shot against this defense.”
Houston Texans 23 — Patriots 9
“I got it this week. I don't think it happens here either. I got 23 to nine Texans.”
Closing line (Jan 18): Patriots by 3, total 40.5 · this 23–9 calls a Texans win (by 14; the line gave the Texans 38%) and fewer points (32).