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John GranatoSep 11, 2026

John backed the Texans to beat the Bills in Week 1, and during the contest segment said they saw the Chargers outscoring the Cardinals.

Said on air, transcribed by us · John and Lance — ESPN Houston (podcast)Hear the original

0 of 2calls landed2 misses · all settled
0Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
0A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2Games calledeveryone’s picks below
0Waitingnot graded yet

What John Granato said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Go Texans. I'm with you a 100% on that one.
John Granato, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
9.11 Hour 3 - Beat the Warehouse live + 5 Star gives 5 Star picks
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidSep 11
  2. PlayedSep 13
  3. GradedSep 15
  1. 1Houston Texans to beat Bills“That is five star in Vegas... Great stuff as always. Go Texans. I'm with you a 100% on that one.”
  2. 2Los Angeles Chargers to beat Arizona Cardinals“They'll score they'll score 20. I see the Chargers scoring twenty eight”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Houston Texans to beat Bills1Game Outcome PicksBills 36–31000
Los Angeles Chargers to beat Arizona Cardinals2Game Outcome PicksCardinals 26–14000
2 calls · 2 misses · all settled00

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 2 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Game Outcome PicksHouston Texans

    Houston Texans to beat Bills

    What happenedBills 36–31Bills at Texans
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Sep 13): Bills by 1.5 · a toss-up, Bills 50%, Texans 50%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    BUF
    score:
    36-31
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    HOU
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    HOU
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles Chargers

    Los Angeles Chargers to beat Arizona Cardinals

    What happenedCardinals 26–14Cardinals at Chargers
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Sep 13): Chargers by 8.5 · favorite pick, Chargers about 4 in 5 (79%).

    How this was scored
    won:
    ARI
    score:
    26-14
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    LAC
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    LAC
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  3. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    0naive 0

The games in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Others on the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.