Loading…
Loading…
Writes at The Dispatch Podcast
Across 4 graded calls in 1 article, Jonah Goldberg scores 10.83% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of -79.12, which means their calls were worse than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
How accurate are election pundits overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 4 calls · one square per call
1Close25%
3misses75%
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
No kind has five graded calls yet, so none is rated.
4 graded calls in 2 articles, newest first.
“And they take the senate by 52 seats.”
The same 21, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Jonah Goldberg isn’t ranked yet: a record is ranked from 10 graded articles, so a lucky first handful can’t top the table.
“I think the Republicans get fairly close to the average since 1992, which is what? 24 seats in the house, something like that.”
“And they take the senate by 52 seats.”
“I'm going to go before David grabs it and say, Lee Zeldin beats Kathy Hochul.”