Loading…
Loading…
Writes at The Bulwark Podcast (feed title: The Bulwark Daily)
Across 1 graded call in 1 article, Jonathan V. Last scores 100% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 0, which means their calls were no better than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
How accurate are election pundits overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 1 calls · one square per call
1hits100% of graded
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
No kind has five graded calls yet, so none is rated.
1 graded calls in 1 article, newest first.
“Like, he's gonna win, and I think he's gonna win by, like, running away... I do not think it's gonna be a close election.”
The same 21, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Jonathan V. Last isn’t ranked yet: a record is ranked from 10 graded articles, so a lucky first handful can’t top the table.