Pat McAfeeJan 23, 2026
McAfee picked New England to beat Denver in the AFC Championship Game, citing the Patriots defense.
Said on air, transcribed by us · The Pat McAfee Show (podcast)Hear the original
What Pat McAfee said
I'll take the patriots, and let's go to the NFC championship.
- Where it was said
- The Pat McAfee Show (podcast)
- The episode
- PMS 2.0 1493 - NFL Conference Championship Weekend Preview/Picks, Adam Schefter, Bill Cowher, Shams Charania, Jim Cantore, & AJ Hawk
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidJan 23
- GradedAug 14
How the call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveOne checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.
The call scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.
The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
Game Outcome PicksNew England Patriots
New England Patriots to beat Broncos
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1difficulty=+100skillClosing line (Jan 25): Patriots by 3.5 · favorite pick, Patriots about 2 in 3 (64%).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- NE
- score:
- 10-7
- skill:
- 100
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- DEN
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
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