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Pete Prisco#51 of 87 NFL pundits · Nov 12, 2026

Prisco picked the Giants to beat the Commanders at home in the Thursday night Week 10 game, 23-14, citing New York's dominant front seven containing Jayden Daniels.

Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original

36Miss · out of 100
Commanders 24–21What happenedcalled Giants by 9 · lost by 3
42.81A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
35.71This callout of 100
#51Pete Prisco’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Pete Prisco said

Pick: Giants 23, Commanders 14
Our reading: New York Giants 23 — Commanders 14
Where it was published
CBS Sports
The piece
Jacob Misiorowski, Cam Schlittler win Cy Young awards; NFL expert picks for Week 10
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidNov 12
  2. PlayedNov 12
  3. GradedNov 13

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 35.7 out of 100, against 42.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  1. Score PredictionsNew York Giants

    New York Giants 23 — Commanders 14

    What happenedCommanders 24–21called Giants by 9 · lost by 3
    35.71Miss · naive 42.81
    35.71this call42.81a naive guess−7.1worse than naive1.5difficulty−10.64skill

    Closing line (Nov 12): Giants by 1.5, total 40.5 · this 23–14 calls a bigger Giants win (by 9) and fewer points (37).

    How this was scored
    score:
    24-21
    skill:
    −10.64
    they picked:
    NYG
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    35.71
    baseline:
    42.81
    difficulty:
    1.5
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    9
    naive home margin:
    −0.02
    predicted margin:
    9
    Think this is wrong?

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